May 5, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Five Bar | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four of a Kind | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ericks First Wagon | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedeaux Prize | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cautionary Tales | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Xdw Fast Rogue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carters Diamonds | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Thousand | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Sweet Butter | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vf Big Guns | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dynasty Blood | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Majestic Baby | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mazzikeen | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streakin Five Bar | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eying Miss Deb | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Can Fly | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blaze Shine Blue | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Temptress | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cartels Harem | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shes Jessa an Eagle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amadeo Perry | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sweet Lady 1 | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cartels Best Game | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streaks of Power | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tf Ima Fearless Blue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coronasr Eye Opening | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Rogue | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zorya | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Flyhi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Ta Dash a Blue | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Jewel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Willies Cartel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Megastar Cartel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Lil Wanda | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Star Chick | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiercely Faithful | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roses First Prize | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tf Eyesa Jess Jumpn | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Piloto | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Jessie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jessbullevabull | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tc Jess Sabrina | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jessuwaitnc | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Fight Blues | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Bar Panther | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Covid 2020 | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tf Im That Lady | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Train Fortune | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Up | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rl Prize Doll | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glamour Dynasty | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Waiting On Yall | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Bar None T | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flame of the Yukon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yacht Sea B Train | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Jessies Girl | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jetset Diva | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jl Apollitical Miss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tr Robins Sweet One | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Coronas Speed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pilotos Witch | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shaylee Bleu | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monroe Tlc | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Mammie 23 | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tdz Timekeeper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dats My Curl | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Marie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Moon Follie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reb It Up Jess | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Celebration | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mj Corona Fire | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs Kennedy Tlc | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruse Splash Train | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamaigotthis | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eagle Watchn | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hosanna Hosanna | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jrs Hiclass Majestic | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet London Rose | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Making a Royal Dash | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.