May 7, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Risky Situation | 3.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backgate Red | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Drive | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ucantmakethistufup | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dudley | 1.80 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Wully Bully | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riante Sky | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Young o’ Daine | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Accel Joe | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Knievel | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heliochrome | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fay Dan | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chase Tracker | 3.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bumper Pool | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucks Big Boy | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Rate | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backgate Belle | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bon Deux | 3.50 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loyal to the Game | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goblin | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joan’s Junior | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristocat | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Frappucino | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shuwa Funga P | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Pine | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Frost | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Verrazano First | 2.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Replete | 3.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Lonely Private | 3.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Horse Greedy | 4.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 7 | First Line | 5.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Top Brass | 6.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Dr. Forman | 6.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Whenthedovescry | 8.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jacks Spring Break | 2.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serbian Sailor | 3.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Monday | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slightly Crafty | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orbital Starr | 10.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Control | 4.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Vodka | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justdennis | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fetchs Brahm | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Living for Today | 2.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Boathouse View | 2.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Beauty Day | 3.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Queens | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Denali Rocket | 6.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Honey Parade | 4.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mary Alice | 12.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Gusto | 15.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Country Dreamin | 20.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Fully Aware | 15.00 | 16.5 | 31-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Americain Joey | 3.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonnyisnotsofunny | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plane Talk | 2.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Oath | 4.50 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pull My Chain | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Company | 10.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Street | 8.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | News Box | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Charge | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cronus | 5.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mean Jakey | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lead Actor | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Strike | 3.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humero d’Oro | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Rainbows | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simpson Bay | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bigtime Tegridy | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Tiz Showbiz | 2.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Special Pryce | 2.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rubiginous | 4.50 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine My Time | 8.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fredonian | 10.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riverboat Gambler | 3.50 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Praetorian | 10.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Kevin Witte | 8.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seek N Justice | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 6.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time Heist | 20.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz McNamara | 30.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Topf Road Rules | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bettys Cash | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Don | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Malintent | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ima Bling Cat | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Dog | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Data Storm | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goodnight Archie | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bebop Shoes | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citrus Bay | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kinfolk | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty Grimes | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Seal | 8.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Rocco | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Souixper Charger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Implicator | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mrs. Beans | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Success | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | K J’s Nobility | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Than Blessed | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Dixie | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit Point | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tempt Fate | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dinner At Crumpies | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamys Roan | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promising Shoes | 30.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nic and Zoe | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cherished | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Star Parking | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Royalty | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Upandcomingstar | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Diamond | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Kat Taps | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nisi Prius | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Parkin in the Rear | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kewpie Doll | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kasserine Pass | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.