Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 12, 2022

May 12, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Motherwell 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Henni Penny 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Julie Bird (IRE) 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Wow Tapit 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Island Magic 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Fillmore East 2.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Red Wind 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Pretty Princess 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frankie’s Girl 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Choose to Be Happy 1.20 2.3 4-1
6 6 Baby’s Dialed In 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Smooth Pebble 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Grey Charlotte 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Triplet 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Anthracite 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Stat 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bluto’s Candy 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Pieer Ror 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Leopardi 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Engine’s Ready 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hunter 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Starship Abraham 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Sha Tin 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La Rusia 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Perfect Kimberly S 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Mongolian Mission 1.80 3.1 6-1
7 7 Emma and I 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tegla 30.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Playa Inclusion 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mangrove Mamma 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Queen Domina 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tag Her 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Curlin’s Dove 10.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Talkin Tipsy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gunesh 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Freedom Speaks 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Rockets Sister 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Auntie Mimi 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Parchita 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jessica Blah Blah 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yes I’m a Beast 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Paco’s Pico 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Felix 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Double Play King 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ocotzingo 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Happy Cajun 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Poppy’s Boys 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Seize the Hay 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Complex System 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Backchat 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rye Sense of Humor 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Mr Mac Quhae 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Jupiter Blues 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Bella Future 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Astral Ride 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Eternal Flame 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Frosty Breeze 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Redjack 30.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Quite Ready 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Harry’s Onthebeach 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Trappe the Wind 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Constitutionalsong 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Futuristic 8.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.