Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 St Maarten Girl 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 6 Geometrique 3.00 1.2 2-1
1A 4 Memento Mi 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 5 Hop Picker 0.60 4.5 8-1
2 2 Goodmorning Angel 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Game Theory 15.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Queentigua 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Stormi Cat Lady 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 Simple Sugar 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dutchess of N Y 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bells On Her Toes 3.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Uncle Curly 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 2 Mr. Kringle 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 5 Missionatthespa 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Maseta 2.50 3.8 7-1
1A 7 Jumpster 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Street Culture 1.80 SCRATCH
7 8 Barrel of Quests 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Courageoous Oh La 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Suit of Armor 4.00 1.3 2-1
14 14 Dancing With Rico 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Raw Courage 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Be the Boss 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bointheback 8.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Johnselectricride 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Sleepychipmunk 4.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Ableton 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Lord Brownie 30.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Seaver 15.00 9.5 18-1
15 15 Makart 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 My Gal Val 12.00 11.1 21-1
5 5 My Inspiration 20.00 12 23-1
9 9 Electrolyzer 6.00 12.5 24-1
12 12 Mister Chairman 5.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heels Together 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Tekila 4.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Afilada 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 School of Thought 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Saratoga Commando 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Fleur Elyse 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Positive Sum 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 U Cant Handle This 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Price Talk 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Hammerin Aamer 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Easy Time 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Buy Land and See 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 High Tide 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 King Kumbalay 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Enid 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Famished 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Soulmate 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Principled Stand (GB) 4.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bernie’s Mistress 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Tass 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Amalfi Princess 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Minaun (IRE) 1.40 2.5 5-1
8 8 Eloquent Speaker 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Betsy Blue 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Fifth Anniversary 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Hydra 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bye Bye 2.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She’s a Black Belt 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Bustin Bay 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Mosienko 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Mia 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shadolamo 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Quasar 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Got the Gold 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Bustin Up 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Addicted to You 10.00 2.6 5-1
15 15 Hereby 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mischief Mogul 5.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Tiz Snow 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Moon Hunter 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Reservation 8.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Kingstown 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gold Bullion 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pepper King 30.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 How You Feeling 20.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Civil Service 6.00 11.6 22-1
3 3 Two Down 6.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Southern Civility 15.00 12 23-1
7 7 On Palm Sunday 10.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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