Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neverstopdreaming 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Chao 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Exponential 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mack 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Skywalking 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Boldness 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Uncle Armando 2.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boss Lady Kim 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Arrow Shape 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Hard to Capture 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Cajun Cousin 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Muguruza 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Miracle Drug (IRE) 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Akemi 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Siren’s Lucky Song 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lady Mechanic 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Unconscious 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Win Or Cellar 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Violent Zap 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bahamian Beauty 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Awesome Apeal 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joe Di Baggio 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Old Time Revival 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Uncork the Bottle 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 High Yield Kitten 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 New York Style 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 The Ice Beast 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vitaemi 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Alizee 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dem a Wonder 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Foxy Lady 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Ms Big Spring 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Domineer 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Rain 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Shadilee 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Capturini 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forest Survivor 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Uncle B 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Graceful Kitten 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Fully Loaded 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Biarritz 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Military Drill 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 The Predicament 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Star Sign 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ludington 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 No Que No 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Septemberten 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Universal Payday 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Inter Miami 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Speargun 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backchat 10.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Exchange Day 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Meteorito 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Cash in a Flash 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 I Believe in Magic 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Big and Classy 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Aztec 5.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alpha Babe 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Crystal Coast 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Moon of Love (IRE) 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jazzy T 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Forbidden Dream 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chutzpah 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ball Lightning 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Domineering 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Asters d’Oro 10.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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