Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bud Knight 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Warrens Candy Man 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Arrabiata 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dominant Soul 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sundown Warren 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Kimmer 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Primer Dimer 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Reign Song 1.60 1.1 2-1
2 2 Miss Lucilla 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 It’s Saul Right 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Smokem for You 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Paddle On Polly 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Shift to Win 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Octane (BRZ) 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Bestrella (IRE) 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Kuora (PER) 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 A New Peace 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Zeyaraat 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Derby Quest 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Offshore Affair 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Octopus 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Synthesis 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Quick Finish 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jamming Eddy 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Full Draw 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Southern Horse (ARG) 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 City Rage 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Chaos Theory 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rookie Mistake 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Whooping Jay 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Olympic Legend 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creative Peak 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Grazed 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Leyas Candy 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Torrid Tommy 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Irondale 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Dutch Bus 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Super Chief 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Doyoustillloveme 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Armaveer 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Drizella 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Teddy’s Barino 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Norah’s Princess 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pray for My Owner 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Smoothlikebuttah 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Li’l Grazen 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Race Judicata 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Luxury Liner 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo Them Down 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Candy for Carmel 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tiz Tact Toe 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Nineeleventurbo 3.50 3.4 7-1
9 9 Today Matters 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Amadmadworld 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lookout Point 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Explain This Audit 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Gebo 30.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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