Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 14, 2022

May 14, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fortune’s Nephew 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 N Y Anthem 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Devil Boy 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Eminency 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Safalow’s Mission 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Our Son Jake 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Denis 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ocean’s Reserve 15.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Conquist 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Rules 0.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Ring of Fire 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Standup 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tenure 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bingo John 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Not Yet Charlie 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stanhope 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Loaded Joe 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Steelersfanforlife 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Dee Bo 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bella Sofia 0.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Frank’s Rockette 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Miss Brazil 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Kept Waiting 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Assertive Style 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Holiday Jazz 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Freedomofthepress 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Missing Link 4.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Mandy Green 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Miss Delicious 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Stella Mars 6.00 1.7 3-1
13 13 Red Pepper Grill 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Happy Hill Lil 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Gentle Annie 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Trinity Titoli 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mia Bea Star 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 U Should B Dancing 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Thismightbetheone 8.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Runhappy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chateau 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Answer In 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Officiating 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Drafted 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Repo Rocks 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mr Phil 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Baby Blythe 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Lay the Groundwork 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 10 Angelinka (FR) 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Belacqua (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Join the Dots 3.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Caironi 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Courageous Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Naked On the Beach 8.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Angel Palm (GB) 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 9 Miss Bella Ciao 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Malibu Curl 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 Saint Selby 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 5 Jemography 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Listentoyourheart 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Seven Lilies 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 3 Foolish Ghost 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Masked Marauder 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Prince of Pharoahs 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Bronx Bomber 6.00 7 13-1
5 4 Gandy Dancing 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Brew Pub 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yibir (GB) 1.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gufo 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Abaan 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Highland Chief (IRE) 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Easter (FR) 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 So High (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 We the People 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Set Sail 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Electability 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Golden Glider 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Complete Agenda 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Cooke Creek 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Western River 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 State Planning 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runaway Rumour 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Stolen Holiday 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Plum Ali 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Lemista (IRE) 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 High Opinion 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Our Flash Drive 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Rougir (FR) 1.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Finest Work 5.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Autumn Glory 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Act of Congress 6.00 3.9 7-1
14 14 Waterville 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tellaperfecttale 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Palace Gossip 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rigby 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dufresne 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sue Ellen Mishkin 15.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Caumsett 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Captainsdaughter 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Masterof the Tunes 6.00 7.5 14-1
15 15 Gallina 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Highway Queen 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Hideout 30.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Theodora Grace 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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