Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 14, 2022

May 14, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eyes a Blue Runaway 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Magic Bux 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Louisiana Bru 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Dlj Jess Thrill Me 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Valentina Delight 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 I Am the Guy Yall 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Bt Bluesman 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Mega Yacht 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ima Jettin Patriot 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Six Bar Cartel 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sarahs Patriot 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Wanna B a Star 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 One Mighty Key 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Zoomin Dash 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Two Timin Taylor 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tc Annas Girl 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheza Badd Mama Jama 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Forever Corona Chick 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Black Jack Tara 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Eyes of a Cartel 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Rl First Prize Kenzi 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Separate Effort 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ms Freighttrain 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Siete Rayos Cartel 15.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Bella Choice 10.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 One Relentless Jet 10.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bp Thevaliantpolicy 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Tg Bigone 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Kaioken Cartel 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 One Fast Game 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hunters Swingin Reba 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 One Delightful Tee 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Fire Out the Box 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Jj Kings Baby 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fast Dash Group 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Heza Piloto 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Jrs Carters Shadow 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Tttroyalityntheblood 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Jls Zoom N Boom 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Corona Ultra 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Clave Siete 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Chihuahua 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Play Some Blues 10.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mr John 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 An Incredible Moment 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Domniksmiraclebaby 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Guccia Fast Tee 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Icecoldblood 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bellas Fantasy 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Freighttrain Game 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Xdw Sheez Sweet 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Tdz Heza Streakin 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Ms Better Be 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Five Bar Joy 15.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tf Fortunate One 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Streakin Hunting Six 5.00 2.4 5-1
1A 10 Lv Stanley Winner 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Dd Lad 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Beg Feature 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fletch My Alcohol 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Rh Senor Milagro 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Majestic Cocktail 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 The Orphan 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Fancy One 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 New News 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Follow My Wagon 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Escandalo 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tf Fearless Runaway 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Shesa Otoole Yawls 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wild Game Fortune 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fire Sunset 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Cr Ease Love 8.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Go Moonin Go 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Louisiana Blue Eagle 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jjj Runaway Train 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lady Genevieve 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Corona Eye Candy 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Respect the Game 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 I Cartel 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Annie Likes Corona 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Pops Zoomin Toole Sm 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Fdd Lady Patriot 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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