May 14, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eyes a Blue Runaway | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Bux | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Bru | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dlj Jess Thrill Me | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valentina Delight | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am the Guy Yall | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bt Bluesman | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Yacht | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ima Jettin Patriot | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Bar Cartel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sarahs Patriot | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wanna B a Star | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Mighty Key | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoomin Dash | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Timin Taylor | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tc Annas Girl | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Badd Mama Jama | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Corona Chick | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Jack Tara | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes of a Cartel | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rl First Prize Kenzi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Separate Effort | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Freighttrain | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Siete Rayos Cartel | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Choice | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Relentless Jet | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bp Thevaliantpolicy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tg Bigone | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaioken Cartel | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fast Game | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunters Swingin Reba | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Delightful Tee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Out the Box | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jj Kings Baby | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fast Dash Group | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Piloto | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jrs Carters Shadow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tttroyalityntheblood | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jls Zoom N Boom | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corona Ultra | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clave Siete | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chihuahua | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play Some Blues | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr John | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | An Incredible Moment | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Domniksmiraclebaby | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guccia Fast Tee | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icecoldblood | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bellas Fantasy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freighttrain Game | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xdw Sheez Sweet | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tdz Heza Streakin | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Better Be | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Bar Joy | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tf Fortunate One | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streakin Hunting Six | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Lv Stanley Winner | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dd Lad | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beg Feature | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fletch My Alcohol | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rh Senor Milagro | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Cocktail | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Orphan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy One | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New News | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Follow My Wagon | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Escandalo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Fearless Runaway | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesa Otoole Yawls | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wild Game Fortune | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fire Sunset | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cr Ease Love | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Go Moonin Go | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Blue Eagle | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jjj Runaway Train | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Genevieve | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corona Eye Candy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Respect the Game | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Cartel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annie Likes Corona | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pops Zoomin Toole Sm | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fdd Lady Patriot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.