Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 14, 2022

May 14, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Gravitron 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sommer Velvet 3.50 3.5 7-1
11 11 Mamba Queen 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Devil 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Summer Beauty 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Made to Hustle 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Foxann 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Rockinhippiechick 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 La Familia 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Love Ran Red 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Lola Flo 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dixieland Dancer 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Marvella Nasty 1.40 1.2 2-1
2 2 Run Awesome Tiz 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Joyful Noise 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Parched Ghost 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Eloquent Lady 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Offlee Graysful 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run Away Empire 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Serifos 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Carvellian Quest 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Eye’n a Deal 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Succeed 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Money Room 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Awesome Man 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghost Stalker 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Threethehardway 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Pay the Kid 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hayne’s Fever 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Excalibur 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Jammin Still 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Itsknownasthebern 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Bossy Mama 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fast Lani 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Above the Limit 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Miss Is Zippy 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Oil On Canvas 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Orbit Mars 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Trikki Nikki 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hello Gracie 6.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Sprite’s Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 El Bochinche 12.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Always Something 10.00 9.2 17-1
16 16 La Dame 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rapidamente 15.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Madame Claude 15.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Bullets Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Charliv 20.00 13.1 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Icy Reply 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Harper’s Do 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 She’s a Tripp 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Kisses for Hannah 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Touch of Her Hand 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Superiority 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Petite Rouge 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mejoramiga 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Illusion of Hope 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Buffum’s Beauty 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Date Night Kisses 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Camelia Rod 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hot Lookin Royal 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Monarch Beach 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fancy Princess 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Fortes 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mail Call 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adelaide Miss 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Spun Glass 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Grass Is Blue 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Polished Gal 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Margie’s Heaven 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Dendrobia 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Foggy Dreams 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Paisley Singing 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No More Mask 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mo Fire 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Market of Stocks 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sax 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Salty Saul 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miz the Best 10.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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