May 14, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tidal Forces | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vantastic | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Ridge | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | There Goes Harvard | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irideo (ARG) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Halo | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knockout Guy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good N Thirsty | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokem Howard | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lov U Mean It | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Memories | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fighter | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Founder’s Day | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Westward Breeze | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Ranger | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aventapp | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roses and Candy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stressed | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Loves Karaoke | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty John | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Amelia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Biggie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Lightning | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fordy G | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Golf Drama | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krixus Flash | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Goddess | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe Vinum | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cover Version | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Heat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Your Ringer | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Darling Donna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Heidelberg | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poet Laureate | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mensa | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Runner | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harper’s Gallop | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suite Madam Blue | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storming Lady | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respectfully | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Respect My Candor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flying to the Line | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Draw Me | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One More Bid | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Troubadour | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Joe Won | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palagio | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Sheldon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Q B One | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rose’s Crystal | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With This Vow | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agreetodisagree | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virulente (FR) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky On Ice | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dream Princess | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Floral Essence | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Song of Fire | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brittle and Yoo | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.