Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 14, 2022

May 14, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moody Jim (IRE) 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tidal Forces 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Vantastic 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hudson Ridge 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sword Zorro (IRE) 3.50 4 7-1
6 6 There Goes Harvard 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Irideo (ARG) 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Royal Halo 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Knockout Guy 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Good N Thirsty 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Smokem Howard 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Lov U Mean It 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hot Memories 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mr. Fighter 20.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Founder’s Day 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Westward Breeze 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Girl Ranger 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Aventapp 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Roses and Candy 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Stressed 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 She Loves Karaoke 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thirsty John 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Smokin Amelia 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Man Biggie 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Midnight Lightning 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fordy G 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Golf Drama 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Krixus Flash 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Santa Barbara S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Neige Blanche (FR) 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Queen Goddess 1.20 2.5 5-1
6 6 Carpe Vinum 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cover Version 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 New Heat 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Queen Ofthe Temple 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Your Ringer 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Darling Donna 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sweet Heidelberg 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Poet Laureate 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Miss Mensa 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Violent Runner 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Harper’s Gallop 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Suite Madam Blue 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Storming Lady 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Respectfully 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Respect My Candor 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Flying to the Line 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Draw Me 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Northern Gem 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One More Bid 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Troubadour 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Go Joe Won 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Palagio 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lord Sheldon 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Q B One 5.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rose’s Crystal 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 With This Vow 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Agreetodisagree 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Virulente (FR) 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sky On Ice 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Dream Princess 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Floral Essence 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Song of Fire 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Brittle and Yoo 12.00 8.2 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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