Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 15, 2022

May 15, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Thousand Dreams 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 St Helena 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mia At Midnight 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Here Comes Ralphie 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Precious Insight 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Flag Salute 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 For Love Not Money 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mister Bold 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Thirsty Always 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Slam Dunk Sermon 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Charge Cash 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Silken Prince 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Heartfullofstars 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 The Beat 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady T 0.80 2.4 4-1
1 1 Spring Spinning 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Banjo Queen 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 L Bee 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Angel Nadeshiko 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Beignet 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Harbored Memories 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Arkaan 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Cotopaxi (IRE) 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 Red Flag 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Jetovator 5.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Law Abidin Citizen 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Disco Ball 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Rifey 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 California Street 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 El Diablo Rojo 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Moraweth 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cajun Treasure 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mike Operator 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Unbroken Star 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mashhad Flats 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Continental Divide 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hit the Seam 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Claim of Passion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roman Centurian 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Impossible Task 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Street Ruckus 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Special Ride 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 5 American Admiral 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Back Ring Luck 12.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scary Fast Smile 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Squalotoro 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Raging Waters 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Big Hand 2.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Shady Empire 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Suzie Qzz Brother 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Stir the Pot 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Bolden 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Sawasdee 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sniper Kitten 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Rijeka (IRE) 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Fly the Sky 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cleopatra’s Strike 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Liberal (IRE) 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Niles Channel 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Bee Catcher 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Irish Heatwave 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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