Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 15, 2022

May 15, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Princessa Polly 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Distorted Success 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ms. P’s Bella 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Regal Billee 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ready to Rumble 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Midnight Meadow 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Tapiture Way 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Captivating Art 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Momma Carrie 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hell Bent 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Liars Club 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Infamous Covert 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Pugin 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kosmonavt 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Incendio 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Stop the Humbug 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Dawson Silver 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Trinity Gold 3.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Summer Shandee 4.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forester’s Turn 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Nevaeh’s Dream 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Real Money 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Downy Boy 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 So Suave (IRE) 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Circle of Friends 2.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Broken Proposal 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Everyday Magic 3.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Autumn Stroll 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Beravina 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Aioli 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ephrata (GB) 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Galilei 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Bessie 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fiannas Song 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mystical Journey 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Curlin Candy 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Lady Brew 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Some Like It Hot 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Trizzel Trazzel 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sister Seagull 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Menagerie 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Tara Luna 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Pioneer’s Edge 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Island Belle 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Donnarumma 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spite Store 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Roaring Forties 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lucky Score 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Mason’s Gamble 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lucky Curlin 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Threefiftyseven 5.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Strike Silver 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Solidify 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Stormy Soul 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Embolden 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Clear Destination 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Eskiminzin 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 There’s No Joe 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Maclean’s Posse 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Last American Exit 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Anarchy 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Finalist 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Money Printer 10.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Wave Baby 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Maximus Momentus 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Executive Search 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Selfmade 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jacques Cartier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silent Poet 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Souper Stonehenge 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tap It to Win 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Secret Reserve 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Arzak 3.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Lenny K 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Striker 4.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 White Flag 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gretzky the Great 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Red River Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Secrets Told 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Astrological 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mitzi 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Livin On Luv 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lady Moonshine 1.60 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hi Honey 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Jab 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Trilling Song 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rookie Court 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Load Abroad 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Stole the Ring 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Ivictory 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Surfeit 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Pictureday Jessica 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Seeds of Grandeur 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Formentor 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Cloud Runner 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Favorite Channel 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Daisy Dangles 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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