May 15, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Princessa Polly | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Success | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. P’s Bella | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Rumble | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Meadow | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapiture Way | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Art | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momma Carrie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hell Bent | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liars Club | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Infamous Covert | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pugin | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kosmonavt | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Incendio | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dawson Silver | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinity Gold | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Shandee | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Turn | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Money | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downy Boy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Suave (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Friends | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broken Proposal | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everyday Magic | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn Stroll | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beravina | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aioli | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ephrata (GB) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galilei | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bessie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fiannas Song | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mystical Journey | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Candy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Brew | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Some Like It Hot | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trizzel Trazzel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Seagull | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menagerie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tara Luna | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneer’s Edge | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island Belle | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donnarumma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spite Store | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roaring Forties | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Score | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Gamble | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Curlin | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Threefiftyseven | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike Silver | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Solidify | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Soul | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Embolden | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | There’s No Joe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maclean’s Posse | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last American Exit | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anarchy | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finalist | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Printer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wave Baby | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus Momentus | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Search | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Selfmade | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jacques Cartier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silent Poet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Souper Stonehenge | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap It to Win | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Reserve | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arzak | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lenny K | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Striker | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Flag | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gretzky the Great | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secrets Told | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astrological | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mitzi | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Livin On Luv | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Moonshine | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hi Honey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jab | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trilling Song | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rookie Court | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Load Abroad | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stole the Ring | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivictory | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surfeit | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pictureday Jessica | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeds of Grandeur | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Formentor | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Runner | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Channel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Daisy Dangles | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.