May 20, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Requestforproposal | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masabeeh | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quaria Thunder | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belleshazza | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gailhorsewind | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candlestick Maker | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Martini’s Amica | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Be Cheeky | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caramel Swirl | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Read It | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piece of My Heart | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letmetakethiscall | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Delicious | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ace Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miscreant | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms No Vax | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Dancer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thatsjustlovely | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Two Elle | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Achilles Heel | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Exalted Charm | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sidd Finch | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostmon | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amedeus Music | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Star | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wicked Charm | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Conquest | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian Ruby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer Book | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ocean Deep | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Board Certified | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Born a Gambler | 3.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Balthus (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snow’s Island | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remote | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Never Change | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dream of a Day | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Cay | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Medicine | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Buster | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nordic Light | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stjames | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Greg’s Honor | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Riddim | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Left On Boylston | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Running Bee | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Silipo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Doin’ittherightway | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Printrack | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Last Mission | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Catch the Smoke | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Heads Or Tails | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sailor Speed | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dot’s Dollar | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Towering Orbit | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bank On Anna | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wailin Josie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Clever | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Cara | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Graded On a Curve | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Old Boy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danzigwiththestars | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jade’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Hermano | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vintage Hollywood | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Therisastormbrewin | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P All Systems Go | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hush of a Storm | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pivotal Run | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bless Bless | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Resilient Courage | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mucho Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Topic Changer | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensibleconclusion | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crawford County | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drums of War | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Water Flow | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cagney | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Bruce | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | B C Glory Days | 3.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Lucky Brody | 1.80 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Triple Brown | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Timmy Me Boy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Reap What You Sow | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.