May 21, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Prize | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sweet Lady 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shakin Piloto | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Righteous Man | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devilwithablackdress | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carters Diamonds | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anonymous B | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lrh Twisted Sister | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweater Tlc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Docs Sfj | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Maker | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Text Me Texas | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arjet | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast Lil Streak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamonds Fire | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tm Louisiana Beduino | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tastreakoffire | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Runaway Perry | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zoom N Tacotina | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Calente Kid | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Dashin Fefe | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just Call Me Jess | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Black Perry | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jesswonpum | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Fast Man | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ah the Reason | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D R Chicola | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Big Blue | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xdw Catch a Rouge | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shez Beyond Fast | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Daddys Tee Cos | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Reserve | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rh Shake Em Dreams | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mp Dancing Star | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jj Jess Baby | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jessbullevabull | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bar Fight Blues | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Covid | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tailor Cartel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz a Fiery Streak | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Lucky Jess | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Mari | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Megastar Cartel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ekg Im Dashing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mj Dashing Eagle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Mother’s Day S.) – Mother’s Day S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Freighttrain T | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kp Prospect | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Bar Miracles | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Dashin Logan | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Zo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get It Done Babe | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cwfasttrack | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tf Im That Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Throw the Heat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jnj a Game Jess | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mj Special Eagle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess My Dash | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Seis Says Bye | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tf Coronas Lil Jess | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Magnum | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Drama Ali | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessa Classydash | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coronas Margarita | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reach Thru | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rf Fearless Heroine | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sendsation | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jes an Angel | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Specials Corona | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Revenant Wave | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Butter My Perry | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rain in the Dough | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruse Choice | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.