Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 22, 2022

June 22, 2022 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Nana’s Gray 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Murgatroyd 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mohaylady 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 La Tourista 8.00 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Hashtag Winner 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Red Queen 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Anaheim 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Oiler 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Loco 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Versatile 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bandimere 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Rerally 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Mr Ghost 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Declare the Moon 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bad Decisions 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Port Royal 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Twirling Blues 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Midnight Raid 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Blue Bonzai 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Buckeye Jimmy 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stellar Tap 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Buckingham Prince 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Red Label 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Doctor Love 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Baby Quinn 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fireman Dan 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carillo 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Groom Lake 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 American Smooth 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Loving Lucky 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 El Franco 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Plemmonston 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Guard 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twist of Faith 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Baytown Get It On 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Kbcya Later 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ready Rumor 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Spiritist 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Steele Money 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Giant Awakening 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Saburo’s Grace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Purrfect Mistress 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sonador 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Outlaw Queen 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Verdandi 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Villareggia 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bel Aria 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Jamaican Traffic 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Maggie’s Will 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ournationonparade 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lost in Limbo 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Digital 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Impressed 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Quick Return 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Rob the Rich 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Samurai Prince 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Divine Leader 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Devil’s Tower 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Wild Behavior 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Don’t Forget 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Flamingo Hawk 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 The Queens Jules 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Rolling Fork 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 David’s Gem 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hooperdrivesthboat 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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