July 3, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Danger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Savvy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asha Ironborn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Empress | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabby Squared | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Squall | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Born to Be Good | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Genesis | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Rachel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Destinique | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orbaline | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Lunar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Days in May | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Grigio | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Derby Day | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sararenda | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wake Up Maggie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wickedblackbullet | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaukokaipuu | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Ayrshire | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trejo | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One for Chap | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fighting Irish | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J’adoro | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Philip My Dear | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C R Hot Shot | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | British Artillery | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tour of Duty | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lapochka | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Carthania | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faraway Kitten | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Native Prince | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timeskip | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desolator | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nashtrick | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Workin Out | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zap Motion | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Downy Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Malibu Edge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Money Printer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Conglomerate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Embrace My Uncle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collective Force | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Master McGrath | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmenootz | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finalist | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shangassah | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juan Pablo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Extension | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Knight | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lament | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rosebud’s Hope | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodacious Miss | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gal Wonder (GB) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guileful | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ann of Cleves | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheerupsleepyjean (FR) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gloriannia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Googly Eyes | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Ready | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fedalia | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Marais | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Endorphin Rush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gambling Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Arkle | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Collaborative | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under Surveillance | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gaston | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Factotum | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chelsea Dagger | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Mario | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Legend | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Destiny | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s Got Soul | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Tempt Fate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Day Tripper | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready for the Lady | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nikolaou | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jinxed (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Make Me Happy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Cause | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jack | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allen Diggs | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force Reserve | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Jewel | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Burn | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Avie’s Flatter | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clayton | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lenny K | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roaring Forties | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Old Chestnut | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Dividend | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Primo Touch | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avoman | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Thread of Blue | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eskiminzin | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Henley’s Joy | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Nina | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Diffley | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bode’s Tipsy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Churchtown | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tycoon | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Ride | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strike Silver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.