July 9, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Up | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kong Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Grand | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addicted to You | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kimbo Dancer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Sleepychipmunk | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zap Man | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whisky Warrior | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Sanctuary | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tonalistic | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Bruce | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Don Bernardo | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pivotal Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Great Gazoo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Media Sensation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Trappezoid | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zaevion | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Commissioner | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Winston | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My First Grammy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Somebody | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Tale of Mineshaft | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Currency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voleuse | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eli Dancer | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Photon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bunty Windermere | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny How | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Steppin’ Hawk | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mystery | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Snow | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Suburban S.) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Captain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Untreated | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic One | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max Player | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Eyes On Target | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graded On a Curve | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Hard Cash | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Everest (GB) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Advanced Strategy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Never Explain | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Soulmate | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hieroglyphics | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Creed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | November Rein | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baba | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruvies in Time | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Cara | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To a T | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monshun | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awillaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Belmont Oaks Invitational S.) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | New Year’s Eve | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McKulick (GB) | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Concert Hall (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Consumer Spending | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Memories | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Agartha (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With The Moonlight (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haughty | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Know Thyself (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Queen (FR) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Victory Ride S.) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Half Is Enough | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Soul | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Peppers | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Birdie | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Silver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stand Up Comic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Smash Ticket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Caesars Belmont Derby Invitational S.) – Caesars Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sy Dog | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stone Age (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz the Bomb | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Napoleonic War | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Patronage (FR) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nations Pride (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Sonata | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Limited Liability | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Machete (FR) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Causeway | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Implementation | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Base | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emmanuel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Feathers Road | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heymackit’sjack | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Excursionniste | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frank’s Art | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salt Cay | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreampoint | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Independent Paul | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Born Dancer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bert Bert Bert | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brady’s Legacy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Son Jake | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ripe for Mischief | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Heroneandonly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mister Chairman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Capleton | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kingdom On Paws | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | After Five | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Umbria | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | B C Glory Days | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Deregulation (GB) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hudson Overpass | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giramonte | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s Got It | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hezastonecoldfox | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Courageoous Oh La | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sixty Three S | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Bid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Lord Brownie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Civil Service | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.