July 10, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyond My Dreams | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right to Strike | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiral Storm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incendio | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamonjawbreaker | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Bourbon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Life | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Storm | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Comet | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Housebuilder | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Investment | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sixth Anniversary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saskatchewan | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pot Committed | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brutality | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormin’ Humor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Action Point | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hayroll | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cant Glide by Katz | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derzkii | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pound Green | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breathlessnthesand | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fifth Season | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Correlate | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Classic | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stop the Humbug | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canola World | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Icing | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cape Cod | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dissectologist | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Guest | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Dawn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmies Big Day | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tempo Madness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Three Mile Limit | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Be Dragons | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fielder | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Trouble | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kawacatoose | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aim for the Sky | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happymac | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celebratory | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dotted Line | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jibaro | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anarchy | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Checkerboard Floor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Beast | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Wyatt | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor’s Passion | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Sunset | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call My Banker | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luv to Win | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion of the Sea | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr Narcissistic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al Heybay | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Heat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Reload | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exceed | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Framed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Legend | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crooner | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rat Portage | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pink Gelato | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dragon’s Key | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Risk | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Opeechee | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Warden | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Talk | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Repeat the Heat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.