July 14, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Man of Steel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forittable | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arquebus | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Born Happy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Section Ten | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Zeppelin | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Way Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ima Daredevil | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anita Grigio | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gelato Amore | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Garter | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Airy Fairy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cefalo | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afandi | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pluie d’Avril | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Have Fun | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antigone | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheeky Pint | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean Kitten | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Time | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Venenosa | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil’s Turn | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Machisima | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Prince | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love the Game | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moment of Peace | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Philzano | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Sun | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icing | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mayor of Essa | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Sousi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Time Classic | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Confident N Elite | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bodacious Miss | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systematic | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Gamble | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allpaidup | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Silence | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Philly Eagles (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fourteen Days | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | What a Beaut | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | More Savvy | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Someone Else | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal City Reign | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nice Company | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freret | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Fighter | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speak English | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bobbit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lets Run Two | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vespolina | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Forester | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volata | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arra Go Wan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everyday Magic | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Horseshoe | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldstorm Glory | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lincolnville Beach | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.