July 17, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Il Malocchio | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Romance | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Ride | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Dahlia | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monastery Lane | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flippin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Rudy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chiseler | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Armstrong | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Star | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twin City | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sunshine | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Reserve | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Spirited | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Kiss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Victoria S.) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Velocitor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Strike | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaukokaipuu | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mikey Bananas | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Jock | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poulin in O T | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hilarious Affair | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Strategy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mt Logan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cerebro | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Destiny | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uptown Lights | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Mustard | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Bound | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Agile Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Funiculi | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steak and Cheese | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grandson | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Upstart Gentleman | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banff | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gancho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Dormy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Fortune | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warp Ride | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Seamus | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Curlin | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Entry to Heaven | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sail At Sunrise | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tycoon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eskiminzin | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Watson | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Old Chestnut | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Speedy Hans | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Glider | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Malibu Edge | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master McGrath | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holyfield | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leslie Chow | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Printer | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tour of Duty | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racing in the Rain | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Honor | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ice Road | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downy Boy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragon’s Brew | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | There’s No Joe | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Search | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond City | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victorious Wave | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Joe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Galvaston | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Crime | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon Steel | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Pond | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commander Joe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Gamble | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heat Merchant | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lesson Learned (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ngabe | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | View From Egbert | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breach of Trust | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Four Bounce | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Broke an Broken | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Than Happy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mia and Me | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Band Coming | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Win the Draw | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Thunder | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lionesque | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Scenic Holiday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.