July 28, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Rachel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destinique | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pino in a Purse | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Ruby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take the Gold | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pluie d’Avril | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teacher’s Pet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danger | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Lunar | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ishiyaya | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlight Ridge | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Miah | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Practical Gizmo | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who Says | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jolene Jolene | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foresters Princess | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Scarlet | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Analyzer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Uproar | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lapochka | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decimator | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Moon | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swamp Souffle | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seguimi | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Selfmade | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jungle Fighter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ammunition | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Tribute | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unilateral | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runninforcover | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Start Me Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunrise Drive | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swirling Candy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy n’ Silent | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gelato Amore | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Final Trick | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leon Azul | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Guroo | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | More Savvy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Company | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Ring | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fedalia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winyah Bay | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Empress | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flippin | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Speed | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spider Belle | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Lynn | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Basalt Street | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eleanor Powell | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hatmaker Holiday | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Forest B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.