July 29, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tio Chema | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand Up Perry | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Bar Cartel | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hulk of Fire | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Louisiana Doll | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My High Card | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Johnny Mae Carter | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Weslaco | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Tiz an Ocean | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr Desert Streak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agoutis Snowplow | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Streak of Music | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Struttinmyjewelsoff | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dwaynes First Perry | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eton | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Louisiana Tee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tdz Toast to Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Special Crown Cartel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jj Redscor Cartel | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tg Coup Azoom | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie Likes Corona | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess a Corona Legacy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tg Coups Ashante | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Im That Fast | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truenno | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | One Sweet Butter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jet Black Game | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ajs Fast Corona | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wow Its Jess | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Look Jet | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tunnell Vision | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hez Hunters Rogue | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ollies Fancy Cartel | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superfecta | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blaze Shine Blue | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Chill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Throw the Heat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Majestic Tonight | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freeway Dynasty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Perry Pretty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes a Fast Tourist | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keeps Comin Up Rosas | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Secret | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Cartelito | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One More Patriot | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Secret to Catch | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stolin Base | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | South Henry Streak | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheza Leaving You | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Gunna Be Famous | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jlc Tres Calctines | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Classy Lil Jess | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Moon Rising | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Famous Eagle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomin Game | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jl Juanita | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Lil Pollitical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Solid Love | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louie Blues | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cwfasttrack | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Rogues | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Famous Pilot Point | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try Relentless | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Guy Hot | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamante Sign Jess | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rm Im That Chick | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir William Terry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jess Tempting Reb | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bcl One Fast Jess | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honkytonk Truth | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dumb Country | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dress Me in Blue | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rough Runaway | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jl Feature Runaway | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Fast Cash | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jes Anotha Jambalaya | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.