Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 30, 2022

July 30, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sweet London Rose 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sizzle Me a Skillet 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Krewze Bayou 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Jrs Majestic Time 4.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Tee Zarb 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Nothin Buta Dash 8.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Bjs Ima Gonna Fly 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Cantstopthistrain B 5.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Kool Comment 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Bossy Bux 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Diamonds N Coronas 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jj Baby Sweet Jess 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Big Muddy Valley 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Buds Ducks 4.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Tf Runaway Toast 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Sarver Cove Diamond 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jess Dont Bug Me 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Saras Hot Wings 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Alekca 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Sir Bar Dance 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jens First Patriot 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pure Blood 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Silver Party Eagle 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Carters Baby Blues 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Desperate Sprit 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Eagle Prize 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Caras Doc 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Mj Dashing Eagle 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Heza Dashing Rogue 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 All About Channing 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ovation 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Memory Train B 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Jj Lucky Jess 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Ajs Wild N Out 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Blue Bueno 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Fast Dash Fortune 4.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 My Corona Blues 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Eagle Romance 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Giuseppe Tee 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Ms Dashing Pilot 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tdz Leavingthecounty 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bye Corona 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Tee Mahtoo 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Tdz Jeslouisianafast 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mavens Cash 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Adore My Runaway 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Frosty Fast Man 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sassy Miss Dasher 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Quick Jets 2.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mr Tacubaya 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Streakin Lady Train 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bjs Five Bar 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 2 Power of Red River 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Hes a Fast Blood 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Corona Especiall 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Blue Ocean 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Mixed Blood 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 African Queen 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 5 Apollitical Patriot 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Mercie Me 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Working for a Livin 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Thoro 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Hey Ya Tutz 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Stanny Boy 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Jrs Majestic Baby 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Rh Senor Milagro 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sweet Jessies Girl 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Carry On Eagle 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dashin Daisy May 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Bv Yesterdays Wine 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Td Candy 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sheza Bell Perry 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cartel Shakalaka 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 One Relentless Jet 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Jesswonpum 4.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Cartel Pete 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Thisbcanfly 10.00 9 17-1
5 5 Scartel 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.