July 31, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jackie’s Pride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wood Be Wild | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icing | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trigger’s Bay | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feelthebeat | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unable | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Four Bounce | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lionesque | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Dobles | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Answer | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Band Coming | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cant Glide by Katz | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aoristos | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Diamonds Bff | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Where Is Essa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dragon’s Key | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love the Game | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boxer Brief | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collaborative | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Sousi | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Kingdom | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Allen Diggs | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hilarious Affair | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raise a Profit | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rat Portage | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Spell | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Mario | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cerebro | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agile Dancer | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bee the King | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Yorktown | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liars Club | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chancel | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Bob | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor’s Passion | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incendio | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Rebel | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dawson Silver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boss Holiday | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Housebuilder | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One More Brew | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jim’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Stop Dreamin | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Today | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Investment | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River of Babylon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Conquest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alacritous | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big League | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Sight | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Magician | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emmeline | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Ro | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Legacy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Legend | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Ray | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Four Mamba | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chelsea Dagger | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tourist’s Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Al Heybay | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Intent | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jibaro | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Small Talk | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | View From Egbert | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bullet Speed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exceed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.