Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 4, 2022

August 4, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crumlin Experience 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Unspeakable 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dr Chappell 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Owen’s Souper Moon 1.40 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hey Mickey 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Magic Conquest 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Union Colonel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 She Makes Me Tizzy 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Silentanddiscreet 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 My Baby Jane 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pictureday Jessica 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Elusive Gem 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 We’ve Had Enough 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Free Carrycomb 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Laila’s Charm 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Want to Go Dancing 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Burning Man 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Coleyville 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mnemba Island 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Redoute’s Light 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Hiatus 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 So Suave (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valley Girl 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five Days in May 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Orbaline 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Airy Fairy 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cefalo 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Crumlin Time 2.50 5 9-1
4 4 Onezy’s Dream 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Glovanna 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Hold the Applause 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Ginger 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Volata 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Khozzy Valintine 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sugar Is Golden 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Is There a Forest 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Super Leggera 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 A Maize Zing Dotie 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 In My Opinion 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Careless Heiress 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Born to Be Good 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Bossalina 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Speak English 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Under the Eye 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 What a Beaut 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rum Raisin 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Divine Genesis 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Text Me Up 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Pipestone 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Samurai Fighter 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 San Nicola Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Muskoka Lady 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Mamita’s Chica 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Ivy’s Star 3.50 7.3 14-1
8 8 Call Me Kitty 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chanceworthtaking 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vivian Ann 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Moon Pool 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Cliff’s Head 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Shesaloosecannon 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Princess Solitaire 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flashy Get Even 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Wanna Play 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Reins of Purple 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sunday Visit 6.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Hard Rock Warrior 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.