Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 6, 2022

August 6, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cara’s Prince 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Red Route One 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Alexis Zorba (GB) 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mullingar 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Battle of Normandy 2.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Track Mate 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Moonflyer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 School of Thought 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Afilada 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Mostly Harmless 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tekila 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Madame Rose 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lordhearmyprayer 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 She Caught My Eye 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Toosweettobesour 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Khali Magic 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Impazible Donna 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Miss Alacrity 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Pretty Clever 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Beautiful Karen 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Quality Stones 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mosienko 4.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Happy Sophia 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Good Governance (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
1 2 Eyes On Target 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Casanova Kitten 15.00 4 7-1
4 4 Founder 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Turn of Events 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Wicked Fast 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Famished 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ocean Atlantique 15.00 6.3 12-1
1A 9 Dream Works (FR) 2.00 8 15-1
10 11 Two Thirty Five 2.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Swiftsure 4.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Kinetic Sky 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Fasig-tipton Lure S.) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Public Sector (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Somelikeithotbrown 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Safe Conduct 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 T D Dance 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Dynadrive 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 South Bend 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Sifting Sands (GB) 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Disarm 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Perform 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 5 Crupi 2.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Rocket Can 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Wadsworth 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Arthur’s Ride 10.00 6.8 13-1
1A 8 Point Proven 2.00 7.8 15-1
8 9 Olazabal 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Western Ghent 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 War Like Goddess 0.50 1 2-1
2 2 Virginia Joy (GER) 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Flanigan’s Cove 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Temple City Terror 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Key Biscayne 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Petricor (GB) 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Treasure Tails 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Osbourne 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hometown 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Prince of Pharoahs 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Money Supply 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 American Gentleman 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Scilly Cay 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Saint Tapit 1.60 4.3 8-1
2 2 Anejo 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Fluid Situation 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Perfect Munnings 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Longines Test S.) – Longines Test S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Matareya 0.40 1 2-1
6 6 Hot Peppers 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Elm Drive 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 November Rein 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Wish You Well 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sterling Silver 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Chi Town Lady 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Whitney S.) – Whitney S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Life Is Good 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Olympiad 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Hot Rod Charlie 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Happy Saver 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Zoomer 30.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Americanrevolution 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Caesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Caesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Classic Causeway 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sy Dog 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Emmanuel 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Grand Sonata 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Main Event 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Annapolis 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Nations Pride (IRE) 3.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Stone Age (IRE) 4.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Royal Patronage (FR) 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Ethereal Road 15.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Stolen Base 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Curlin’s Wisdom 8.00 1 2-1
9 8 Biondi 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Action Jackson 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Excursionniste 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Dreampoint 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Conquist 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Sir John 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Your Mission 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 9 Bert Bert Bert 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 6 Walk Em Down 6.00 8.9 17-1
11 12 Olympic Dreams 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Uragano 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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