Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 7, 2022

August 7, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo’s Treasure 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Talkin Pharoah 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Scarpia 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gilcrease 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Chiringo 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Classic Creation 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Certified Loverboy 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Blue Lieutenant 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Surprise Payoff 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Critical Threat 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blue Jays 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 4 Good Skate 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Majestic Tiger 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Convertible Freeze 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 The Big Grey 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Road to Success 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dealing Justice 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Liberty M D 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Dr B 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Goodnight Olive 0.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Fouette 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Piece of My Heart 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sarah Harper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Adirondack S.) – Adirondack S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sabra Tuff 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Naughty Gal 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Promise of Hope 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Janis Joplin 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Apple Picker 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Damaso 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bisset 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tribal Queen 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Maria From Miami 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Raging Sea 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Mo Shiro 12.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Peace Cruiser 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Will Be Famous 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Senior Prom Queen 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mirus 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Renegade Rebel 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Just an Angel 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shaymyname 50.00 1 2-1
9 9 Delight 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Pink Hue 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 La Grotte 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Gifted 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 La Mazel 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Invest Wisely 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Stay Lost 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Xigera 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 3 Empress Isabel 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Conseillante 4.50 SCRATCH
12 13 Welcometomyworld 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.) – Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 McKulick (GB) 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 New Year’s Eve 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 With The Moonlight (IRE) 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Contemporary Art 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Oakhurst 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Walkathon 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colorful Mischief 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Wicked Hot 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 To a T 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Empire Hope 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Boss Cara 20.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Rookery 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Portilla 4.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Big City Momma 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Minute Waltz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jouster 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Love And Thunder (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Plum Ali 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Stunning Princess 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Our Flash Drive 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Nazuna (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Assertive Style 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 In Good Spirits 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Halo City 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Battle Bling 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Digital Software 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Maseta 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Dream of a Day 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Fieldstone 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Bless Bless 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Merci 3.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Splendid Summer 10.00 7 13-1
12 12 Kong Loves a Fight 30.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Cash in a Flash 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Malibu Time 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Resilient Courage 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 El Segundo 30.00 9.6 18-1
15 15 Forty Comets 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Nicholas James 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Skylander 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Writeitontheice 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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