August 11, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Sky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perseverancia | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luz de La Luna | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blondeonamission | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dahlia | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Romance | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Someone Else | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal City Reign | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Guroo | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Ring | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caribbean Kitten | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Floe | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Savvy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Carrycomb | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Lavender | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolie Davina | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicole’s Song | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T’pring | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shazeen | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Effect | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Scholar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Under Surveillance | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hardware Gap | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snookered | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stealth Mission | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Headline | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Am Resilient | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Intent | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uh Oh It’s Magic | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Three | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bodacious Miss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Magnatized | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Venenosa | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buttered Toast | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldstorm Glory | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Run Two | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hallanvaara | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Admonish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silent Causeway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monastery Lane | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Lunar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ishiyaya | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Equinox | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teacher’s Pet | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockcrest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Fortune | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warp Ride | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spite Store | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawacatoose | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Money | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Horseshoe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vespolina | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Ghost | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Souvenir | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Hooter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben’s Sunny Island | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Formentor | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Rebel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.