August 14, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Argentium | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Green Fleet | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hell Bent | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Priceless Will | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reliability | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gancho | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upstart Gentleman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fielder | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Turn | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Soul | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emicrack (CHI) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ace Destroyer | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Samurai | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destinique | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wenjack | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Bourbon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Flatter | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four K Force | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Moment | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celentano | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sammy Stone | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bongino | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holyfield | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Men On The Hill (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master McGrath | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesomecrest | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lament | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commander Joe | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Thoughts | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factotum | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Court | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laraque | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taranto Titan | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robitaille | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Mountain | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collaborative | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sovereign Cause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | P H Factor | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Legal | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mesa Skyline | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’s Ben | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Self Inflicted | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar George | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Society Joe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miriam’s Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prideofdistinction | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dun Drum | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Sahib | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolder Grand | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Thread of Blue | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Maker | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guestimation | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Extreme | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conglomerate | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Seagram Cup S.) – Seagram Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tap It to Win | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artie’s Storm | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Over | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Bomber (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Dividend | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carrothers | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Forces | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clayton | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haddassah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bison City S.) – Bison City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sister Seagull | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Brew | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer’s Edge | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Flashy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strega | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Timeskip | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dotted Line | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Momentus | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epilogue | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decimator | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take a Chance | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dragon’s Brew | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nashtrick | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Basketball Jones | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desolator | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Executive | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace My Uncle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Boy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Workin Out | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ron’s Gizmo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Downy Boy | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wave Baby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.