Site icon Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 17, 2022

August 17, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Snap Decision 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Song for Someone (GER) 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Chief Justice (GB) 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Going Country (IRE) 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Down Royal 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Redicean (GB) 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Belfast Banter (IRE) 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Historic Heart (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 O’Trouble 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Quick Return 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Winning Drive 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Casalsa 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Manifest Destiny 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Greeley and Ben 0.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mommasgottarun 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Perfect Provision 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wicked Happy 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Backed by Gold 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Handle the Truth 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Keen Dancer 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Game Theory 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kemba 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 French Franc (FR) 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tales of Makenna 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Freedom Machine 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 I’m Buzzy 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Synonymous 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Miss Invincible 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Lemon Taffy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Justifying 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mija 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Implicated 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Padma 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Socially Selective 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bulsara 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Souper Slews Cash 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Binsky 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Analogy 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Maritime Wings (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mackillop 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Emboite (IRE) 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Hashtag No Wonder 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wish Me Home 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Seal Beach 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Legends Can’t Die 6.00 7.3 14-1
2 5 Mo Rewards 6.00 7.9 15-1
14 14 Nabokov 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Icarus 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Totalizer 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Malibu S S 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unbridled Bomber 8.00 SCRATCH
2B 15 Funny Joke 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Warrior Johny 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 U Glow Girl 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Crypto Mama 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Oh Donna 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Happy Warrior 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Amazon Barbie 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Red Hot Chick 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ruler of the Night 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Risk Free 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 U Guys Are No Fun 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Caramocha 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mia Bea Star 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Silken Dollar 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sunset Louise 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Gringotts 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dakota Gold 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Marinara Sauced 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Shinsun 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Barrel of Quests 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Silent Running 30.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Born Dancer 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 He’s Got It 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Cagney 30.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Stop the Spread 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tetragrammaton 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cafe Fleur (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ocean Air 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Funwhileitlasted 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dixie Cannon 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Go Big Green 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Princess Pinky 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Boca 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bells On Her Toes 30.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Aziza 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 High School Crush 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 More Mango 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version