Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 18, 2022

August 18, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sandstone 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cartel Shakalaka 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Apolitical Cajun 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Brays Rapid Dash 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jess Black Perry 15.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Jess Tempting Reb 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Jjs Lace 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Negociante Cartel 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Diamonds Fire 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Favoritfire 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rogues Fast Sister 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Louie Blues 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Text Me Texas 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kpbling 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Senator Saweet 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Seisy Jacob 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Bbimthatgirl 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Too Jealous 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Luke Chapter Fifteen 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ms Piloto Flying 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Zige Zige Zoom 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mavens Cash 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hesmakeingatoast 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Carters Chicawa 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Always Ace 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cr Black Penny 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jessbullevabull 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Painturshadow 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Mm Heza Beach Bum 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Heza Carbonero Train 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Roses First Prize 3.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Jrs Magic Majestic 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 Ms Bar None T 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Gias Molly Dollar 15.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Tdz Timekeeper 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jes Winnin Cartel 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Reach Thru 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tdz Jambalaya Wave 8.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Ttt Mortanna 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Blue Storm Comin 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miss Covid 2020 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Fast I Am 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Cos Mamma Said 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Linda Is My Name 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Five Barr Bunny 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Adrenalanne 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jrs Majestics First 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ruse Choice 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hp Kiss This 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Megastar Cartel 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Tcb Eye B Famous 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Jp Secret Dash 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Jess Fast Blue 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ms Turquoise 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fdd Went Fishing 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Ttt Lil Blackstreak 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Political First 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bf Farm Account 15.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Rc Shakenmycorona 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lilenginethatcould 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Game Jewel 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Miss Covid 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mp Dont Look 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shiney Things 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Blue Bye Patriot 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Jw Elijah Comment 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Hookedonsevennseven 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Mr Secret Lee 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mr Jespo Bell 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Hobo 63 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 One Eye Angel 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Wild Fortunes 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Another Diamond 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.