August 18, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tempereya | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pemberley | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moonshine | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Says | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taquanyah | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gav’s Dream Girl | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fedalia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Savvy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Secrets | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lincolnville Beach | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Careless Heiress | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Martini | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes the North | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | War Empress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swirling Dancer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling Speed | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Lynn | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitzi | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hatmaker Holiday | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spider Belle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valley Girl | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Derby Day | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’s Turn | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Her Joey | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pluie d’Avril | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Machisima | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bossalina | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Text Me Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cheeky Pint | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nice Company | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Curlin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vanbrugh | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Silencer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hicksy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Game Knight | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swot Analysis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Artie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Masseto (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Northern Conquest | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Causes Trouble | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Crazy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Than Happy | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Thunder | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taradar | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Painting the Moon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katzisallihopefor | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Win the Draw | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Diamonds Bff | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jolene Jolene | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admonish | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Forester | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shuddacuddawudda | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foresters Princess | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zafeather | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brienne of Tarth | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Suspicious Minds | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courtingcourtney | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Rock Warrior | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nadiabizniz | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | High Treason | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Princessa Polly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Milwaukee Bay | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tara Luna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Broken Proposal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ready Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stole the Ring | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dreams and Schemes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Court | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Intro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hit Me Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.