Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 27, 2022

August 27, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Didinger 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 King’s Glory 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Track Mate 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Verifying 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Standard of Proof 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Game Warden 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Narciso Dali 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Funtastic Again 3.50 1 2-1
7 6 America’s Guest 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Triple Start 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Read On 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Scat Tu Tap 20.00 5 9-1
9 10 The Count 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Decanted 8.00 SCRATCH
1 8 Fire Baron 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Take Me to Jimmy 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Highland Lord 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Alexis Zorba (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Colormepazzi 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 On the Hill 3.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Great Workout 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Colloquy 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Tommy the Torch 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bold Journey 4.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Mr. Kringle 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 G Munning 4.50 7.8 15-1
6 6 Majority Partner 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Ballston Spa S.) – Ballston Spa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Technical Analysis (IRE) 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fluffy Socks 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Our Flash Drive 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 High Opinion 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Lemista (IRE) 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Forego S.) – Forego S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jackie’s Warrior 0.50 1 2-1
7 7 Kneedeepinsnow 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Baby Yoda 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Cody’s Wish 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Pipeline 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Drafted 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Three Two Zone 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Life Changer 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Swift Tap 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Doctor Love 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Baltasar 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Luni Sima 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Jet Speed 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Misbehaved 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Must Be Love 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Leddy 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Smokey White 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Discreet Tune 4.00 1 2-1
4 3 Noble Emotion 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Cazadero 8.00 3.9 7-1
1A 8 Old Chestnut 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Ranger Fox 3.50 4.9 9-1
8 9 Battle Station 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Charmed (GB) 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 7 Comedy Town 4.50 6.2 12-1
10 11 Foolish Ghost 2.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Amundson 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Maxwell Esquire 5.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Higher Standard 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jack Christopher 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Conagher 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Gunite 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Actuator 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Accretive 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Happy Jack 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Runninsonofagun 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Totalizer 50.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Howling Time 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Personal Ensign S.) – Personal Ensign S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malathaat 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Search Results 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Letruska 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Clairiere 1.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Crazy Beautiful 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tribhuvan (FR) 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gufo 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Channel Maker 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Mira Mission 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Rockemperor (IRE) 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Adhamo (IRE) 3.50 7.8 15-1
8 8 Soldier Rising (GB) 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Cross Border 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Cold Hard Cash 30.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Broome (IRE) 3.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Runhappy Travers S.) – Runhappy Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Zandon 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Epicenter 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Early Voting 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cyberknife 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Artorius 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Ain’t Life Grand 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Rich Strike 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Gilded Age 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Heymackit’sjack 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Feathers Road 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ripe for Mischief 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Sir John 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Fuoco 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Steerage 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Empire Sky 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Kreesa 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Chief Engineer 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Invincible Gal (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 A Little Faith 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Miss Tapirado 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Wicked Groove 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Join the Dots 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Runaway Rockette 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Parnac (FR) 3.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Salimah (IRE) 3.50 7.7 14-1
7 7 Rhombique 30.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Wasp 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jane Grey 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Minute Waltz 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.