Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 28, 2022

August 28, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Xigera 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Candle 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Forever Dixie 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Akayla (IRE) 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Justifiable Belle 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mo Shiro 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Mademoisellejackie 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Wand 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Clever Joke 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 La Vita Sofia 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Welcometomyworld 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Misintention 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 My Betsy 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Freydis the Red (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Endowed 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cryo 3.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Higher Quality 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bold Victory 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Never Change 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Eloquist 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Abuse of Power 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Thismightbetheone 6.00 1.2 2-1
1A 5 Stuck On Kitten 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Tweaqued 3.50 2 4-1
6 7 Jasminesque 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Bustin Bullet 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 2 Mispelled Mooon 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 6 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 9 New York Banker 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gasoline 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sidekick 1.40 1.7 3-1
1 1 Abundant Honor 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bold Looker 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Afjan 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Cloud Forest 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Order of Magnitude 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Microphone (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
2 1 Devil’s Outlaw 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Irwin (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Call Me Harry 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Colosseo 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Exult 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 8 Funny Joke 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 12.00 5.8 11-1
1A 11 Perceived 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tiwanaku 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Quiescent 0 0-1
10 10 Maria From Miami 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Love to Shop 3.50 4 8-1
11 11 Alpha Bella 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 The Great Maybe 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Nursekringledances 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Quiescent 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 I’m a Country Girl 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Soledad 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Lovin’ On the Run 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Bella Michelle 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 High Class 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Freedomofthepress 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Towering Orbit 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Summer At the Spa 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Weekend Fun 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 O’Gotten Girl 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Lucky Latkes 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Train to Artemus 3.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Cinderella’s Cause 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 High School Crush 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Bastet 30.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Beautiful Karen 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Better Talk Now S.) – Better Talk Now S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Napoleonic War 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wit 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Fluid Situation 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Legends Can’t Die 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Emboite (IRE) 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Ohtwoohthreefive 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Riot House 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Serifos 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Camp David 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Seal Beach 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ballerina H.) – Ballerina H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bella Sofia 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Rocket 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ce Ce 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Obligatory 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Goodnight Olive 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Travel Column 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Caramel Swirl 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Java Buzz 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Super Quality 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Upper Level 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Matt Doyle 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Rocket’s Red Glare 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Chucka Moon 30.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Be There 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Outlaw Kid 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Steady On 5.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Sainthoodforbrian 15.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Lupo’s Legacy 12.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Broadway Jimmy 50.00 10.6 20-1
14 14 Theregoesmymiracle 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jurkovec 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Atlantic Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Jester’s Song 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.