Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 31, 2022

August 31, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Who’s Counting 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bandua 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ancient Times 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 8 Proven Innocent 2.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Fightinirishtabit 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Project Two (IRE) 2.00 6.9 13-1
6 7 Baltimore Kid (IRE) 3.50 7.2 14-1
5 6 Bright Eyed Eagle (IRE) 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Laughter 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Frosty Invasion 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Summer Snow 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Duckphat 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I’m Nervous Now 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Maddie’s Surprise 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Kukaro 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Yogi 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Flattering Gal 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Three Zero 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Webslinger 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Rock Chalk 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Closethegame Sugar 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Nieuwendyk 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Wicked Secret 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Own the Field 6.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Iron Man Jimmy 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Winning Connection 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nevisian Sunrise 0 0-1
3 3 Zainalarab 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nevisian Sunrise 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Secret Time (GER) 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Baby Blythe 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Scotish Star (ARG) 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Emilia’s Moon 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 W W Fitzy 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Halo City 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Smarmy 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Vegas Weekend 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Family Time 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Road to Success 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Will E Sutton 1.40 1.7 3-1
2 1 Convertible Freeze 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 Scotty 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Dontbelate 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 6 The Big Grey 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Revenio 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Forever Wicked 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eau Claire 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Cerretta 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sals Dream Girl 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bourbon Diversion 12.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Bern Rosey Bern 10.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Treat Street 4.50 7.1 13-1
7 7 Wine Goddess 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Shesadancingqueen 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Honor Star 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 So Are You 50.00 10.6 20-1
14 14 Quiet Type 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 False Hope 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Oak Loves a Fight 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Skyward Princess 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lacey Underall 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Take Charge Lisa 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Xy Speed 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Seven Scents 2.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Not Phar Now 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Duress 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Spirit Animal 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ballydooley (GB) 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Shiraz 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Double Shot 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Banyan Breeze 6.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Durkin’s Call 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Somebody 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Manifest Destiny 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Joe Di Baggio 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bodeflex 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (With Anticipation S.) – With Anticipation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Boppy O 0 0-1
Boppy O 0 0-1
2 2 Andthewinneris 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Our Dream Rye’d 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Battle of Normandy 3.00 5 10-1
11 11 Determinedly 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Noble Huntsman 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 El Conejito 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Boppy O 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Quincy Cafe 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lachaise 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bourbon Therapy 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bramble Blaze 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sinful Dancer 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beach Boy Al 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Devil Boy 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Capt’ Remington 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Basis Risk 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 My Slick Nick 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Southern Civility 30.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Cumberland Blues 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 He’sgottashortfuse 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Makart 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.