Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 2, 2022

September 2, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 M Is for Magic 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Secret Fix 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Crimson Rose 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Darling Donna 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tiger Spice 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Big Shamrock 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Funkhouser 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Otter Pop 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Blue Rim Rocks 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Smiling Princess 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Fast Investment 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Controlled Fire 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Bebbanburg 30.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Modera 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Dream State 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Nomi Lackee 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Caanfoolery 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Daddy Classy Dill 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carmelita’s Man 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Bee Catcher 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Win the Day 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bender 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Fly the Sky 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Oncoming 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ginsburned 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hero Status 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Palagio 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Piroli 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Encode 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Western Cape 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Magnificent 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 American Refugee 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Naughty Niko 50.00 8 15-1
3 3 The Giants Candy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Youteyourhonor 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 O’Neill’s Legacy 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Empire Pass 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Keepmeinthe Moment 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Loma Vista 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sweet Talked 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Gypsy Lynn 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Shared Future 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 See Through It 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Biarritz 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Fenestra 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Blameless 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Chaos Theory 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Grit and Curiosity 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Texas Wedge 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jamming Eddy 12.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Golden Image 30.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Brix 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Encroachment 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thorne House 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Curry 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Pyeong Chang 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 The Little H Man 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Nice Guy Clay 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Northvale Road 10.00 5 9-1
11 11 Loud Mouth 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Quick Finish 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Smileforme 12.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Squalotoro 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Smiling At Val 20.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Brace for Impact 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Slam Dunk Sermon 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Leggs Galore 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Aqua Seaform Shame 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Connie Swingle 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sensible Cat 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Angelcents 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Royal Address (IRE) 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Stella Noir 12.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Outside the Law 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Bye Bye Bertie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Acoustic Shadow 3.00 1 2-1
2 1 Squillions 2.50 1.4 3-1
9 8 Very Scary 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Slam Diego 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Worthiness 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Princess Caterina 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Parco 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 I Give Up 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Trojan Way 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 98 Adele Darling 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.