September 2, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You’re My Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Darknstormy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Summer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You’re My Girl | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nice ‘n Spicy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maggie T | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boy Is She a Lady | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lavon | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mim | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ma Mi Jo Dreams | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Gorgeous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mail Order | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Dream | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellanation | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Woah | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Petit Chou | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bay Jewel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Halo City | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Piece of My Heart | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Be Clear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Giant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Medicine | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outperform | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greg’s Honor | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Most Wanted Man | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funding Gap (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Bay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Chalk | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thinking It Over | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Donna | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Banker | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wailin Josie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blue Times | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eylara (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Transient (GB) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballymore Star (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ensemble (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Colors | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santa Giulia (FR) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hail To | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Except Temptation | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lisheen | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Control Function | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Security Code | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banterra | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spinning Colors | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Miss Keens | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonewall Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Slide | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Liberty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Princess | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Carli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jsk Bucephalus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Fieldstone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vive Bien | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Speight’spercomete | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bless Bless | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream of a Day | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ginnsu Warrior | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Wicked Charm | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Topic Changer | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Momentous | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’s Got It | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Gordon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Milano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tonal Impact | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Jay’stalker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stop the Spread | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ria’s Angel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lucky Coin S.) – Lucky Coin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Critical Way | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voodoo Zip | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Strategies | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Package | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fauci | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wendell Fong | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Peppers | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angitude | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Halo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Is Enough | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Diane | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Scarlet | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Union Lake | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Silver | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bank On Anna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smash Ticket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernardino | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquist | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreampoint | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excursionniste | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Media Sensation | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyshares | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party News | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valentino’s Here | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.