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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 2, 2022

September 2, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
You’re My Girl 0 0-1
4 4 Darknstormy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 My Sweet Summer 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 You’re My Girl 4.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Nice ‘n Spicy 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Maggie T 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Boy Is She a Lady 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lavon 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mim 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ma Mi Jo Dreams 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 My Gorgeous 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mail Order 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Mischievous Dream 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ellanation 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Hit the Woah 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mon Petit Chou 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bay Jewel 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Halo City 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Piece of My Heart 0.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Let’s Be Clear 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiz a Giant 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Medicine 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Outperform 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Greg’s Honor 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Most Wanted Man 1.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Funding Gap (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bustin Bay 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Khali Magic 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 No Chalk 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Thinking It Over 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Impazible Donna 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mosienko 3.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Diva Banker 15.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Wailin Josie 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blue Times 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Eylara (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Transient (GB) 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ballymore Star (IRE) 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Ensemble (IRE) 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Classic Colors 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Santa Giulia (FR) 6.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Hail To 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Except Temptation 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Lisheen 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Control Function 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Security Code 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Banterra 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Spinning Colors 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Pretty Miss Keens 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Stonewall Star 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Super Slide 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sweet Liberty 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Crimson Princess 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Dreaming of Carli 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Jsk Bucephalus 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Fieldstone 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Vive Bien 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 7 Speight’spercomete 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Bless Bless 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dream of a Day 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Ginnsu Warrior 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Super Wicked Charm 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Topic Changer 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Momentous 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 1 He’s Got It 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Fast Gordon 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Milano 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tonal Impact 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Jay’stalker 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stop the Spread 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ria’s Angel 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Lucky Coin S.) – Lucky Coin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Critical Way 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Voodoo Zip 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Proven Strategies 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Big Package 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dancing Buck 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Thin White Duke 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Fauci 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Wendell Fong 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wudda U Think Now 1.20 SCRATCH
8 8 Maxwell Esquire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Peppers 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Angitude 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Wicked Halo 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Half Is Enough 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mischievous Diane 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lady Scarlet 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Union Lake 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sterling Silver 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Bank On Anna 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Smash Ticket 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Curlin’s Wisdom 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bernardino 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Conquist 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Dreampoint 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Excursionniste 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Media Sensation 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Nyshares 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Party News 30.00 8 15-1
7 7 Valentino’s Here 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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