Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 3, 2022

September 3, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 This Train Flies 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Upandover the Moon 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Rio Rojo Negras 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Apollitical Sir 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ajs Maxin Out 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Fletch My Alcohol 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Streakin Jess Cartel 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Jess a Wild Candy 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Majestics Best Game 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Track Star 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Faubourg St. John S.) – Faubourg St. John S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Fast Cajun 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jess Louisiana Boo 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Masons Jet Black 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Freighttrain Z 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Streak of Music 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lolas Lil Ed 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.) – Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Pk Pure Rogue 1.60 1 2-1
2B 5 Splishsplash Piloto 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 3 Toast to Blue 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 6 Giannirusso 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 2 Bellas First Rogue 1.60 4 8-1
3 1 Big Daddys Blue Eyes 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jm Tee Cos Mon Coeur 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Another Diamond 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hezas Sin Tachas 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Cajun Elsa 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Jet Black Moon 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Jjs Lace 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Honkytonk Truth 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Shazam a Corona Girl 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Go Little Vick Cash 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Jes Anotha Jambalaya 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Take the Fasttrain 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kp Prospect 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 San Lorenzo Dash 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Fast Dashin Logan 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Shes Jess So Special 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Pocket Pony 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Perry Mouse Tale 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Heza Piloto 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 He B Swift 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Im That Dove 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Spicey Jet Z 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Happy Flyer 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Okey Jess Shine 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Hes a Fast Blood 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Blackrock Tlc 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Masseto 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Miss Covid 2020 3.50 7.9 15-1
3 3 One Off 8.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Shes Jessa an Eagle 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Jj Kicjess Princess 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Nockin On Wood 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Lqhba Sale Debutante S.) – Lqhba Sale Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mrs Kennedy Tlc 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Miss Apolitical 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rf Debs Dash N Blue 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Wild Train Fortune 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mamaigotthis 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 New Blend 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bad Mammie 23 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Elegant Blues Girl 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Avasippingoncoronas 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Glamour Dynasty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Apolliticalfastlane 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shesa Knockoutcartel 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Xdw Sheez Sweet 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Louisiana Tequila 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Jess Dash Fast 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sheza Fast Blood 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Flying Adelia 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lrh Heart of Glass 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Jla Indy Rogue 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Blessher Sweet Heart 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mid City S.) – Mid City S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lifeinthefastlanes 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tuckers Prize 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hezaa Fast Boy 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Caliente Operator 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Black Blood 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Patriotic Trump 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Dashing Jess Cuervo 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Tee Zo 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Maggies Runaway 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Sea Louisiana 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cool Ya Jets 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 San Lorenzo Moon 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Everythingyouneed 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Onemorewildtrain 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Flyingontheground 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Ruse Splash Train 5.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Oh Hez Fast 12.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Pretty Piloto 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.