September 3, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | This Train Flies | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Upandover the Moon | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Rio Rojo Negras | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Apollitical Sir | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Ajs Maxin Out | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Fletch My Alcohol | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Streakin Jess Cartel | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Jess a Wild Candy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Majestics Best Game | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
2 | 2 | Track Star | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Faubourg St. John S.) – Faubourg St. John S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | One Fast Cajun | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Jess Louisiana Boo | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Masons Jet Black | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Freighttrain Z | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Streak of Music | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Lolas Lil Ed | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.) – Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 7 | Pk Pure Rogue | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
2B | 5 | Splishsplash Piloto | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 3 | Toast to Blue | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 6 | Giannirusso | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
1 | 2 | Bellas First Rogue | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 1 | Big Daddys Blue Eyes | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Jm Tee Cos Mon Coeur | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Another Diamond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Hezas Sin Tachas | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Cajun Elsa | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Jet Black Moon | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | Jjs Lace | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Honkytonk Truth | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Shazam a Corona Girl | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Go Little Vick Cash | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Jes Anotha Jambalaya | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Take the Fasttrain | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Kp Prospect | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | San Lorenzo Dash | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Fast Dashin Logan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Shes Jess So Special | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Pocket Pony | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Perry Mouse Tale | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Heza Piloto | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | He B Swift | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Im That Dove | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Spicey Jet Z | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Happy Flyer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Okey Jess Shine | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Hes a Fast Blood | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Blackrock Tlc | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Masseto | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Miss Covid 2020 | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | One Off | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
8 | 8 | Shes Jessa an Eagle | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
2 | 2 | Jj Kicjess Princess | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
6 | 6 | Nockin On Wood | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lqhba Sale Debutante S.) – Lqhba Sale Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Mrs Kennedy Tlc | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
9 | 9 | Miss Apolitical | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Rf Debs Dash N Blue | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Wild Train Fortune | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mamaigotthis | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | New Blend | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bad Mammie 23 | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Elegant Blues Girl | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Avasippingoncoronas | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Glamour Dynasty | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Apolliticalfastlane | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Shesa Knockoutcartel | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Xdw Sheez Sweet | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
10 | 10 | Louisiana Tequila | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Jess Dash Fast | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sheza Fast Blood | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Flying Adelia | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lrh Heart of Glass | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Jla Indy Rogue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Blessher Sweet Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mid City S.) – Mid City S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tuckers Prize | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Hezaa Fast Boy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Caliente Operator | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Black Blood | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Patriotic Trump | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Dashing Jess Cuervo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Tee Zo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
4 | 4 | Maggies Runaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Jess Sea Louisiana | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Cool Ya Jets | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | San Lorenzo Moon | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Everythingyouneed | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Onemorewildtrain | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Flyingontheground | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Ruse Splash Train | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Oh Hez Fast | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
8 | 8 | Pretty Piloto | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.