Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 3, 2022

September 3, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ari Gold 0 0-1
8 8 General Jim 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Please Baby 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Classic Creation 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Ari Gold 2.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Read On 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Good News Rocket 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Impeccability 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Fly Right 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Scramble 10.00 6.9 13-1
16 16 Big Wicks 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Torigo 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Running Late 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Philharmonic 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Uncle Dan 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sustenance 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Certified Loverboy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Powerful 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Upgrade 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Full Moon Madness 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Surprise Payoff 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Parkway 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Code of Kings 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Tapit’s Conquest 8.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Fightertown 10.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Marty’s Magic 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 No Burn 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Aussie Pride 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tiwanaku 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Perceived 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Strong Quality 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Up to the Mark 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Seal Beach 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Capone 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Saranac S.) – Saranac S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Annapolis 0.40 1 2-1
1 1 Celestial City 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Fuerteventura 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ethereal Road 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Piqua 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Custom Bobby’s 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Montatham 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 King Moonracer 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Blinding Light 4.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Sugar Gray Leonard 20.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Mister Chairman 3.50 6.3 12-1
12 12 Hatch 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Drink the Wind 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 N Y Anthem 30.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Starrystarryknight 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Moon Hunter 20.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Cousin Andrew 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fast N Fearious 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Leddy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mo’s Treasure 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Champions Dream 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mindtap 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Desert Wolf 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Kaon 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Cagliostro 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Jungfrau 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Prairie Dunes 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 American Halite 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Heart N Soul 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Foolish Ghost 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 Shadow Matter 8.00 1.3 2-1
1A 3 Amundson 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 6 Elite Power 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 5 Cost Basis 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Payne 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Higher Standard 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 10 Meraas (GB) 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 8 Hoist the Gold 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Greeley and Ben 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Arthur’s Ride 0 0-1
3 3 Arthur’s Ride 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Crupi 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Rocket Can 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Juan Valdez 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Instant Coffee 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dubyuhnell 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Tsuris 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Briterdayzahead 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Fantasist 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Enzo’s World 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Analyze It 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Eyes On Target 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Graded On a Curve 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Monition 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Clear Vision 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sanctuary City 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Ocean Atlantique 6.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Never Explain 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Lorenz (BRZ) 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Mad Munnys 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Soulmate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Virginia Joy (GER) 0 0-1
4 4 War Like Goddess 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Virginia Joy (GER) 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Temple City Terror 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Flanigan’s Cove 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Marvelous Maude 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Coastana 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Capital Structure (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Olympiad 0 0-1
2 2 Olympiad 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Americanrevolution 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tax 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Dynamic One 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 First Captain 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Untreated 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Keepmeinmind 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Chess Chief 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr Breadwinner 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Patient Capital 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Midnight Worker 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 One More Baby 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Milano 10.00 5 10-1
5 5 Ria’s Angel 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Iron Lion in Zion 20.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Commander Compton 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Seanan 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Kong Loves a Fight 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Notable Exception 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Jay’stalker 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nineties Country 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 12 Quick Power Nap 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 My Cara Mia Mine 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Bunty Windermere 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 9 Izeamalibumoon 3.50 3 6-1
1 3 Chiara 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Lollygag 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 10 Eli Dancer 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mo Damorninggrouch 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 8 Rent Control 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 11 Galley Head 15.00 7.7 15-1
1A 7 Fuligni 12.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Lemme Get It 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.