September 3, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grey Society | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Intro | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Vixen | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shez a Sealy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Emoji | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Island Belle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trilling Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wentru | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Point | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hell Bent | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Way | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Drive | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call My Banker | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Dashing | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cruden Bay | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banff | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Long Pond | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Crime | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muchokova | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Icing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Vice Regent S.) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockcrest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Poet | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warp Ride | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mason’s Gamble | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Fortune | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Aces High | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wedgewood | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dance With Destiny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladywearsthering | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Touring | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Rhythms | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gambling Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marais | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gloriannia | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jilli Marie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Friends | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor That | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acquired Taste | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impetuous Molly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stuff | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Overboard | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Gabrielle | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby’s Reign | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Film | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loki’s Lightning | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trizzel Trazzel | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Candy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gayelette | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catch Magic | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mardene | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rees | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Collection | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Xi | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trizzel Trazzel | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flywheel Effect | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Makes a Point | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazin Queen | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gal Wonder (GB) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vivid Vixen | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizymaline | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Corduroy Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyzer | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dragon’s Brew | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Create Again | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timeskip | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Selfmade | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desolator | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thor’s Rocket | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combative | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.