Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 4, 2022

September 4, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Calming Sea 0 0-1
Huntingcoco 0 0-1
5 5 Carla 1.60 1 2-1
8 7 She’s Inthearmynow 8.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Carmel by the Sea 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Moonlit Mischief 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Kanthara 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Calming Sea 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Huntingcoco 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 98 Fun Money 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Bruins Mastery 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hail Freedom 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Bold Endeavor 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Impossible Task 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Affable 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tio Magico 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 American Admiral 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Wicked Trick 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ship and Scam 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Golf Drama 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Rhino 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Mystic Flyer 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Maximus Decimus 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fasttraintotexas 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Barbacoa 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Tom and Jazzy 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Sure Prospect 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Slightly Dirty 50.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 My Ransom 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vince’s Corner 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stay in the Game 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thirsty Pappy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dancing Crane 5.00 1 2-1
8 7 Bowl of Cherries 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Loud Loud Music 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 A New Peace 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 8 Madeira Wine 8.00 3.3 6-1
13 12 Storming Lady 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Never for Money 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Nice Ice 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Blushing (FR) 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Supersonic Flyer 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Malibu Mistress 30.00 7 13-1
5 98 Whistler’s Style 0.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Lalic (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Torrey Pines S.) – Torrey Pines S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Under the Stars 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Desert Dawn 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 3 Midnight Memories 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Malibu Marie 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cinnamon Cat 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Grace Adler 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Kirstenbosch 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stayin’ Out Late 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rocky Gibraltar 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bravestone 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Oculus 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Economical 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Primer Dimer 3.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Granada Flavor 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Port o’ Call 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Hey Jasper 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Paul L 50.00 7.2 14-1
9 98 Prince Magician 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Pepperman 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Helens Well (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sterling Crest (IRE) 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Ma France (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Pearl Glory (IRE) 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Dendera 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Briefcase Girl 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Snark 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Belle Cherie 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Queen of Thorns 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Spring Spinning 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Emerald Lake 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hopkins 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Sargent Lee 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 One More Bid 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bad Sneakers 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Traegar 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Omerta Code 12.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Conquering King 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Greenbow 4.00 8 15-1
2 2 Courtside 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Commander Carl 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Storybook Ride 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Green Flash H.) – Green Flash H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lieutenant Dan 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dubai Key (ARG) 3.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Maven 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Barristan The Bold (GB) 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Coulthard (IRE) 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Chasin Munny 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lane Way 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Nero 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Whatmakessammyrun 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Super Ocho (CHI) 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Yes He Can 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Taming the Tigress 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Awake At Midnyte 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Smitten by Kitten 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Anacapa 6.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Fun to Dream 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Scenic Masterpiece 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Reinecke 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 One Silk Stocking 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Draw Me 50.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Aqua Julia 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Capstone Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Buzz of New York (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Get On the Bus 6.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Annie’s Song (IRE) 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Karakatsie 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 My Kentucky Girl 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lady Jae 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Investmentstrategy (GB) 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Agreetodisagree 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Kleen Karma 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bicameral 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Over Attracted 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Aas de Faust (GB) 30.00 6.8 13-1
14 98 Magical Path 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Feathers (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.