September 4, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Sea | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Huntingcoco | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Carla | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s Inthearmynow | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carmel by the Sea | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Mischief | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kanthara | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calming Sea | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Huntingcoco | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Fun Money | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Bruins Mastery | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hail Freedom | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impossible Task | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affable | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Magico | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Admiral | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Trick | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ship and Scam | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golf Drama | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhino | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Flyer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Decimus | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fasttraintotexas | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barbacoa | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tom and Jazzy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sure Prospect | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slightly Dirty | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | My Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vince’s Corner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stay in the Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thirsty Pappy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Crane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bowl of Cherries | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loud Loud Music | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A New Peace | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madeira Wine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Storming Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Never for Money | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nice Ice | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blushing (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supersonic Flyer | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Malibu Mistress | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Whistler’s Style | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Lalic (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Torrey Pines S.) – Torrey Pines S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Under the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dawn | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Memories | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Marie | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cinnamon Cat | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grace Adler | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kirstenbosch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stayin’ Out Late | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Gibraltar | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oculus | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Economical | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primer Dimer | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Granada Flavor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Port o’ Call | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Jasper | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paul L | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Prince Magician | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Pepperman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Helens Well (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ma France (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pearl Glory (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dendera | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Briefcase Girl | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snark | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Cherie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Thorns | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Spinning | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hopkins | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sargent Lee | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Bid | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Sneakers | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Traegar | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omerta Code | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Conquering King | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greenbow | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courtside | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Carl | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storybook Ride | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Green Flash H.) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lieutenant Dan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dubai Key (ARG) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maven | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coulthard (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasin Munny | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lane Way | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nero | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whatmakessammyrun | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Ocho (CHI) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes He Can | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Taming the Tigress | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awake At Midnyte | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smitten by Kitten | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anacapa | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fun to Dream | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scenic Masterpiece | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reinecke | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Silk Stocking | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Draw Me | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aqua Julia | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capstone Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buzz of New York (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get On the Bus | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karakatsie | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Kentucky Girl | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jae | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Investmentstrategy (GB) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agreetodisagree | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kleen Karma | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bicameral | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Over Attracted | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aas de Faust (GB) | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Magical Path | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Feathers (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.