Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 4, 2022

September 4, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nonno’s Little Boy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Basketball Jones 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bet N Win 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cupid’s Dude 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Treason 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Venenosa 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gold Forester 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Sweet Shades 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Smarty Illusion 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Courtingcourtney 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jolene Jolene 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Foresters Princess 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Little Fire 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Zafeather 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spring Mountain 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Awesome Strike 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Tuff Rags 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Taranto Titan 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bodacious Biz 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Killary 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Moment of Peace 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Silent Lucidity 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Trizmo 15.00 5.6 10-1
10 10 Phantom Jewel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cool Society 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Machisima 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Text Me Up 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Call Her Joey 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Stormy Derby Day 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Lil’s Turn 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Anita Grigio 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Flat Out Vixen 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Glovanna 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Allen Diggs 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Jack 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Hilarious Affair 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Colonel Mustard 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Nikolaou 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rebel Faith 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 War Safe 5.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Last Dawn 15.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Magnificent Mario 20.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Here Be Dragons 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Zadracarta S.) – Zadracarta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forest Drift 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spanish Ballerina 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Stormy Silence 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Hell N Wild 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Amalfi Sky 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Marie MacKay 15.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Lorena 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Green Gables 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Millennium Force 12.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Owen’s Tour Guide 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 She’s a Dream 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jill 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maclean’s Posse 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Spite Store 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Swot Analysis 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Kawacatoose 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Have a Souper Day 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Souper Watson 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 It’s Game Knight 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Last American Exit 3.00 5 9-1
9 9 Eskiminzin 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lieutenant Stan 0 0-1
3 3 Town’s Warrior 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Musical Stride 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Lieutenant Stan 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pidin 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bushido 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Midnight Tempesta 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Confusing 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forester’s Turn 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Vanbrugh 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Big Executive 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Alley Oop Johnny 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 La Belleza Negra 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Anarchy 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Grand Alliance 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bet 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Free Shipping 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Doinggoodtrouble 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Why Not Bourbon 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 William’s Cause 4.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Grand Gizmo 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Factotum 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Snookered 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Hardware Gap 10.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Bartica 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.