Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 5, 2022

September 5, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rookie Court 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Brienne of Tarth 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Suspicious Minds 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Northern Passage 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Zippity Day 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ivictory 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Silent Creek 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Shazeen 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Papa Dobles 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lionesque 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Nepomuceno 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Super Headline 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Mia’s Majesty 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Smart Society 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Straight Ehs 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gamble’s Silver 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kitten’s Romance 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Jill 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 A Maize Zing Dotie 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Alpha Mia 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Blondeonamission 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 My Girl Sky 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Battle of Yorktown 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Chancel 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Jmr Pure Sensation 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Just Start Me Up 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hayroll 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Tourist’s Dream 2.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Executive Chairman 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Baytown Elvis 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Giant One 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Laraque 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Belentime 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Solis 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 I Am Resilient 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Phantom Jewel 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Stealth Mission 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red River Rebel 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Turned Aside 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Roaring Forties 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 White Flag 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tap It to Win 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lucky Curlin 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lucky Score 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Riptide Rock 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Cash Dividend 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 P H Factor 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hallie’s Hero 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ben Lomond 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Society Joe 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Giant Critic 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 First Spring 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Self Inflicted 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Gorgeous Kitten 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Wings of Victory 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Repeat the Heat 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Infamous Covert 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Justin’s Way 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Point to the Stars 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Midway Mischief 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Arriviste 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Blast in the Snow 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Road Map 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Eyes On a Train 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Donnarumma 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Shesaloosecannon 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Baysville 4.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Lillz Hope 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Fragola 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Number One Hit 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.