September 5, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Court | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brienne of Tarth | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspicious Minds | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Passage | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zippity Day | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ivictory | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Creek | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shazeen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Dobles | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lionesque | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nepomuceno | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Headline | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia’s Majesty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Society | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Ehs | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gamble’s Silver | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Romance | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jill | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpha Mia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blondeonamission | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Sky | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Yorktown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chancel | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Start Me Up | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hayroll | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tourist’s Dream | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Executive Chairman | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Elvis | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Giant One | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laraque | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belentime | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solis | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am Resilient | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Jewel | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stealth Mission | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turned Aside | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Forties | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Flag | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap It to Win | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Curlin | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Score | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riptide Rock | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cash Dividend | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | P H Factor | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hallie’s Hero | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Lomond | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Society Joe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | First Spring | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Self Inflicted | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gorgeous Kitten | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of Victory | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Repeat the Heat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infamous Covert | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justin’s Way | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point to the Stars | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Mischief | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arriviste | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blast in the Snow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Road Map | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eyes On a Train | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donnarumma | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shesaloosecannon | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baysville | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lillz Hope | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fragola | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Number One Hit | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.