Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 9, 2022

September 9, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Americaredwhiteblu 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Durante 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Bright Leaf 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mitico 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Mo Them Down 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tisquantum 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mighty Matt 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Socal Red 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Decade of Dreams 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Real Fire 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 La Macarena 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Dream a Dream 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Natalia 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Weemissgrammy 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cuban Crisis (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Forest Acclamation 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fixyurhairupretty 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Elegant Sway 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Smokem for You 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Big Gift 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Night Party 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Golden Again 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Wink Wish and Park 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Caanfoolery 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Violet Crown 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Smokin Cheena 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pretty Thirsty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tartini 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Move Over (GB) 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Southern King 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Kitten’s Spa 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Jack Sprout 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Perfect Cut 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Back Ring Luck 6.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Falsely Accused 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Holy Ghost 20.00 8.6 16-1
14 14 Peace of Ekati 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 U. S. Danger 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rijeka (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Proud Pedro (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 She’s Bulletproof 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Cause She’s a Lady 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Sheza Girly Girl 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Big Beauty 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Laurel Canyon 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Big Treat 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Saturday Heist 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Smilin Evie 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Emma’s Dance 20.00 5 10-1
1 1 Act of Serendipity 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 98 Spanish Channel 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Free and Humble 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 La Peer 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Balenciaga Betty 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Classymademoiselle 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Shirley’s Bane 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Bolt’s Broad 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Anacaro 12.00 9.3 18-1
14 14 Jennifer’s d’Light 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pride of the Nile 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Thread Count 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Daddy Classy Dill 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Half Nelson 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunset Glory (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Straighten Up 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 Giver Not a Taker 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Hacking It Up 10.00 2 4-1
7 6 Merit Song 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Moon Ice 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Amigo G A 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kangaroo Court 1.60 SCRATCH
5 98 Good N Thirsty 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neptune’s Storm 5.00 1 2-1
6 5 Overdue 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Coast of Roan 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Mac Daddy Too 6.00 2.5 5-1
12 11 Fort Moultrie 3.50 2.6 5-1
11 10 Moody Jim (IRE) 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 One Fast Bro 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 First Premio 6.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Lincoln City 0.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Opry 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Crew Dragon 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Mecklenburg (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.