September 9, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Americaredwhiteblu | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durante | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Leaf | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mitico | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Them Down | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tisquantum | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Matt | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Socal Red | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Decade of Dreams | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Fire | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Macarena | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream a Dream | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natalia | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Weemissgrammy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuban Crisis (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forest Acclamation | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fixyurhairupretty | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Sway | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokem for You | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Gift | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Night Party | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Again | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wink Wish and Park | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caanfoolery | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Violet Crown | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Cheena | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Thirsty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tartini | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern King | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Spa | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Sprout | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Cut | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Back Ring Luck | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Falsely Accused | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Ghost | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Peace of Ekati | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | U. S. Danger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rijeka (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cause She’s a Lady | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Girly Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Beauty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Laurel Canyon | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Treat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturday Heist | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smilin Evie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emma’s Dance | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Act of Serendipity | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Spanish Channel | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Free and Humble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Peer | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Balenciaga Betty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classymademoiselle | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shirley’s Bane | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolt’s Broad | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anacaro | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pride of the Nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thread Count | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daddy Classy Dill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Half Nelson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sunset Glory (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Straighten Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Giver Not a Taker | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hacking It Up | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Merit Song | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Ice | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amigo G A | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kangaroo Court | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Good N Thirsty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neptune’s Storm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Overdue | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coast of Roan | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mac Daddy Too | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fort Moultrie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Fast Bro | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | First Premio | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Lincoln City | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Opry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.