Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 10, 2022

September 10, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Moraweth 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Baladi 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 D D S Express 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Multi Platinum 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 State of the Union 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Santos to Wilson 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Kimmer 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Missed Call 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Established 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Square Deal 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 El Tigre Terrible 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Half Right 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Black Storm 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Manitowish 5.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tizhotndusty 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gregory’s Pride 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ambivalent 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Encroachment 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Time to Party 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Straight No Chaser 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Commander Khai 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 King of Speed 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Lincoln City 6.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Clayton Delaney 12.00 8 15-1
8 8 Elevado 15.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Yeng Again 8.00 11.8 22-1
5 5 Star Racer 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Careless Kitten 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Flying Fred 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Maynard 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Rusty B Cause 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Dual Threat 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Take the Two Ten 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Dad Bod 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Big Stuff 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Sproston 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Macho Sam 30.00 11.2 21-1
12 12 King Rob 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Chris Fix 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Icy Flavor 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fifty Cent Dollars 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Midnight Jostar 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Hockey Dad 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Coalinga Road 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dominant Soul 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Prince Abama (IRE) 5.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Tropical Terror 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Li Mu Bai (IRE) 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Bang for Your Buck 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Liberal (IRE) 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Subsidize 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Hometown Hero 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 6.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Prodigal Son 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hejazi 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Fleet Feet 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Fort Bragg 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Roll On Big Joe 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 First Peace 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Speed Boat Beach 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Napoleonic Code 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Gun Bullet 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Jam Session 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mobe Town 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 My Ransom 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Keen to Go 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Comanche Country (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thebestisyettobe (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sell the Dream 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Havana Angel (IRE) 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Queenzy 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Excelia (IRE) 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sally’s Sassy 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Court Snort 20.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Candy Caramel 12.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Cahuilla 20.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Pride of the Nile 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.) – Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Home Cooking 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Vegas Magic 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fast and Shiny 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 And Tell Me Nolies 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ice Dancing 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kissed by Fire 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Arella Star 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Satin Doll 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (John C. Mabee S.) – John C. Mabee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Going Global (IRE) 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Going to Vegas 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Eddie’s New Dream 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Park Avenue 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Burgoo Alley (IRE) 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Avenue de France (FR) 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Bellamore 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tizlightning 0 0-1
5 5 Tizlightning 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Moose Mitchell 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 As Amatter of Fact 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Stormy Pattern 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Micky From Wexford 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Pioneering Papa 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Street Art 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Cobra Jet 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Mr. T’s Thirsty 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Tahoe Secrets 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Heaven Shines 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Leisurewear (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kitty Kitana (GB) 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Velvet 4.00 2.8 5-1
14 14 Vivando 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Automax (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Tiergarten 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Adelie (IRE) 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Unwhirled 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Jubilee Lake (GB) 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Izzy Em 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Maeve of Connaught (IRE) 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Waiting On Wendy 20.00 13.2 25-1
13 13 Infinite Empire 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Quick Romance 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ruthless But Kind 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dear Beau (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.