September 10, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Moraweth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baladi | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D D S Express | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Multi Platinum | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | State of the Union | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Santos to Wilson | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kimmer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missed Call | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Established | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Deal | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Tigre Terrible | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Right | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manitowish | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizhotndusty | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gregory’s Pride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambivalent | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Encroachment | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time to Party | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight No Chaser | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commander Khai | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | King of Speed | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lincoln City | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clayton Delaney | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elevado | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yeng Again | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Racer | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Fred | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maynard | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rusty B Cause | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dual Threat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take the Two Ten | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dad Bod | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Stuff | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sproston | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Sam | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | King Rob | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chris Fix | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Icy Flavor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Jostar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hockey Dad | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Road | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominant Soul | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tropical Terror | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bang for Your Buck | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liberal (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Subsidize | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hometown Hero | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Prodigal Son | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hejazi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleet Feet | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fort Bragg | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roll On Big Joe | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Peace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Boat Beach | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Napoleonic Code | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gun Bullet | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jam Session | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mobe Town | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Ransom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Keen to Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thebestisyettobe (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sell the Dream | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queenzy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excelia (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sally’s Sassy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Court Snort | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Caramel | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cahuilla | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pride of the Nile | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.) – Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Home Cooking | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast and Shiny | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Tell Me Nolies | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Dancing | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kissed by Fire | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arella Star | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satin Doll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (John C. Mabee S.) – John C. Mabee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Going Global (IRE) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Going to Vegas | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eddie’s New Dream | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Park Avenue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avenue de France (FR) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamore | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tizlightning | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Tizlightning | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moose Mitchell | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | As Amatter of Fact | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Pattern | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Micky From Wexford | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pioneering Papa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cobra Jet | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tahoe Secrets | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heaven Shines | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Vivando | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Automax (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiergarten | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Adelie (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unwhirled | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jubilee Lake (GB) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Izzy Em | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maeve of Connaught (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waiting On Wendy | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Infinite Empire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Quick Romance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ruthless But Kind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dear Beau (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.