September 10, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Storm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Humbug | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copinsay | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muromec | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trinity Gold | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bombolini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Music | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aqua Luna | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady in Red | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Dancer | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Chrome | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suspicious | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Confident N Elite | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Narcissistic | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stylish Gent | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Max | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion of the Sea | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arquebus | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Destinique | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beat the System | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marais | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ephrata (GB) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Friends | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spider Belle | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twister Alert | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlight Ridge | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Bit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Phantom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fashionably Fab | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Society’s Kat | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunshine Girl | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cara Cara | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Signal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | A Touch of Red | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danish Dynamite | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashlee’s Ring | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Delilah’s Revenge | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Join the Dance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreidel | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs. Barbara | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Il Malocchio | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seasons | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Causeway | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Vision | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Lady | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millie Girl | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Toronto Cup S.) – Toronto Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Riot House | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mannix (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Churchtown | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Empire | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day Tripper | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hicksy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckman | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lac Macaza | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zatip | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Serifos | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keen Flatter | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celentano | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Today | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Tomahawk | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Buzz | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preetzah’s Star | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Green Amazon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Funiculi | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handcarved | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Priceless Will | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Forester | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond Borders | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Al Heybay | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gancho | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Spy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kaukokaipuu | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fighting Irish | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mythical Storm | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do the Griddy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wickedblackbullet | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Kiss | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Ransom | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Star | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunyani | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fajardo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Olena | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.