September 11, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shemakescents | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | So Softly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sapadilla | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peanut Butter Cup | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shemakescents | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Heidelberg | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Halo | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte Harbor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy L | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m No Ballerina | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Living With Autism | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flaps Up | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keepurself Alive | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Princess Caterina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Holden the Lute | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Alignment | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Ruckus | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Dragon | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of Makena | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Flight | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingmeister | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Excess English | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kid Azteca | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Russells Hustle | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reincarnate | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Coast | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Over Me | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Fall | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Empire | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danube | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heartbreak Kid | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Colonel Vargo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bolts Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Partner Glen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gaelic Nation (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | So It Would Seem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sally Stanford | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Double Fantasy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chao Mar | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Thunder | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast to Fortune | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Blue | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Lane | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mainline | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’s Big Shot | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amanda Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rexford | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Time | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Single Track Mind (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Slap | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gas Me Up | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhythem On Stage | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luka Grazie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Baybe | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cosmic Soul | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen to Go | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Corazon de Lucia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alexander Helios | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nielson | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Carrizo Springs | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Doinitthehardway | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gila | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicybug | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Getthemoney | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Bettina | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fourth Street | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Touch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divinely Bolt | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lily Poo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firsttimeinforever | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamonds Danzing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Three Strands | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Muteki | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Half Nelson | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forgiving Spirit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Atomic Drop | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | In Vronsky Style | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Evenerevenworse | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Cat | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Who’s Candy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Essential Business | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Creative Peak | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brix | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Richards Bello | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Head for Business | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crosskirk | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Golden Image | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Count Tolstoy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Princess Adaleigh | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brocade | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runninwiththeboyz | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Censorship | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Too Bossy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Nadeshiko | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Empire | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karin With an I | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kura | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Park City | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’tthinkjustdoit | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ah Jeez | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Packs a Wahlop | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ti Sento (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tahoma | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | De la Luna | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wound Up | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Point | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Valiancer | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Syntactic | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | President Z | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Buffett | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Taltariate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Runhappy Del Mar Futurity) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cave Rock | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Havnameltdown | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newgate | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classical Cat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agency | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Wam | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mixto | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skinner | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pop d’Oro | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flint Stroll | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Canelo | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | National Road | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Jeff | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kant Beat the Rock | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weegee | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Key Is Unity | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caisson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tuskegee Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barnfield | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Halfbarberbingie | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Hoop Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | El Joy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Jonas’ Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.