Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 11, 2022

September 11, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Shemakescents 0 0-1
9 9 So Softly 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sapadilla 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Peanut Butter Cup 2.50 3.2 6-1
12 12 Shemakescents 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sweet Heidelberg 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Golden Halo 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Charlotte Harbor 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lucy L 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 I’m No Ballerina 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Living With Autism 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Flaps Up 30.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Keepurself Alive 50.00 9 17-1
13 13 Princess Caterina 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Holden the Lute 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Star Alignment 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Street Ruckus 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lord Dragon 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Spirit of Makena 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Perfect Flight 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kingmeister 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Excess English 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Kid Azteca 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Russells Hustle 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Reincarnate 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Malibu Coast 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Reign Over Me 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Fast Fall 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 American Empire 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Danube 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Heartbreak Kid 20.00 9 17-1
14 14 Colonel Vargo 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bolts Babe 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Partner Glen 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gaelic Nation (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 So It Would Seem 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sally Stanford 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Midnight’s Girl 5.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Double Fantasy 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Chao Mar 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Smiling Thunder 4.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Fast to Fortune 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Whiskey Blue 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sunny Lane 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mainline 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Lil’s Big Shot 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Amanda Rose 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rexford 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Game Time 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Single Track Mind (IRE) 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 The Slap 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gas Me Up 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Rhythem On Stage 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Luka Grazie 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Bay Baybe 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Cosmic Soul 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Keen to Go 20.00 9.8 18-1
12 12 Corazon de Lucia 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alexander Helios 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Nielson 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Carrizo Springs 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Doinitthehardway 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Gila 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Spicybug 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Getthemoney 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Princess Bettina 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Fourth Street 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Blessed Touch 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Divinely Bolt 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lily Poo 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Firsttimeinforever 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Diamonds Danzing 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Three Strands 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Muteki 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Half Nelson 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forgiving Spirit 3.50 1 2-1
12 11 Atomic Drop 4.00 1.9 4-1
11 10 In Vronsky Style 12.00 2 4-1
13 12 Evenerevenworse 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Square Cat 12.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Who’s Candy 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Essential Business 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Creative Peak 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Brix 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Lil Richards Bello 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Head for Business 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Crosskirk 20.00 7.3 14-1
14 13 Golden Image 30.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Count Tolstoy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Princess Adaleigh 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Brocade 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Runninwiththeboyz 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Censorship 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Too Bossy 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Angel Nadeshiko 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Infinite Empire 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Karin With an I 10.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Kura 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Classy 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Park City 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Don’tthinkjustdoit 5.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Mas Rapido (GB) 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ah Jeez 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ti Sento (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Tahoma 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 De la Luna 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Wound Up 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Stone Point 20.00 7.7 15-1
14 14 Valiancer 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Syntactic 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 President Z 20.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Buffett 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Taltariate 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Runhappy Del Mar Futurity) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cave Rock 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Havnameltdown 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Newgate 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Classical Cat 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Agency 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 The Big Wam 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Mixto 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Skinner 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Pop d’Oro 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flint Stroll 4.00 1 2-1
12 10 Canelo 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 National Road 3.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Uncle Jeff 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Kant Beat the Rock 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Weegee 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 The Key Is Unity 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Caisson 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 11 Tuskegee Cat 12.00 6 11-1
6 5 Barnfield 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Halfbarberbingie 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 98 Hoop Dream 0.00 SCRATCH
11 98 El Joy 0.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Jonas’ Dream 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.