September 11, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boss Is a Pal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Billingsgate | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dialing Dixie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chauffeur | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Password Protected | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Remi | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ruling Front | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smitten Enough | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crownedcountcristo | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baltimore Bud | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rahmer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hushed Hijinks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Predicament | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Loaded Sniper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | So Courageous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Golden Avieator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brown Delivers | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Auspicious Lad | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neverfold | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Bar | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Rise | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transfer the Funds | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byron’s Gold | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galway Lad | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Only Child | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Otago | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Lad | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Moon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Lumpalot | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Urban Bandit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blown Save | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten Around | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Furiously | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cripple Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tyler Time | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncommon Valor | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Boogie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Virginia Fulla | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Circles | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Ron | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Not Slow | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Serenity | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reveille Song | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strut | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossyness | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waverley | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chalice | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marilyns Gone | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breton Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | How Lovely | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Opus Forty Two | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dandelion | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shake It Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Never Free | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Megan Makin Money | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Circuitt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Sue | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Admission | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s All Money | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fivecommatwo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blowthruyelowlites | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Moonshine | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liquidator | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace and Charm | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hamo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Iron Lotus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Closertotheheart | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chicago River | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamba Queen | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fortes | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Icy Reply | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Lookin Royal | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Speak Your Mind | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Rose | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Cashmere | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sensation | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Spice | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Broadway Peggy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sidney Sue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Looks Don’t Lie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Americas Woman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Music Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twice Gold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Ice | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Invective | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Tick Tock | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Too | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Notimelikepresent | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Breed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Click to Confirm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Way | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hoodooland | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Sheba | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sofia’s Secret | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volador | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Candy Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Glossamer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mosalah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jubilee Bridge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dawn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gals Gal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Strike | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Galilei | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hemp | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldenize | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al Loves Josie | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backnthewoods | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heir Port | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | San Antone | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Spy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Synchronicity | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Collar Boom | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peace Out | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ladyness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Replicated | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Com On | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concert Hall | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spyentist | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grass Cutter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dunder Boss | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.